Whalesbook
Export Mein Giravat Ka Asar?
Dekho, apna carpet aur rug sector, jismein bahut saare artisans kaam karte hain, woh kaafi slow chal raha hai. Is fiscal year ke pehle 8 mahine mein exports 9% neeche gire hain, matlab abhi tak $735 million ka business hua hai. Iski sabse badi wajah US market mein demand ka kam hona hai. Haan, UK aur UAE mein thoda achha perform kiya hai, par US se hui badi ghirawat ko woh recover nahi kar paaye. US market mein September mein exports 32%, October mein 22%, aur November mein 9% kam hue. Bhai, ye numbers kaafi serious hain.
Turkey Ka Tariff Advantage
Is situation ko aur kharab kar rahe the tariffs. Duniya bhar mein China sabse bada exporter hai, par India ke liye US market mein Turkey ek bada competitor hai. Pehle Turkey ko US mein kaafi low tariffs ka fayda mil raha tha. Reports ke mutabik, Turkish carpets par US tariffs sirf 15% the, jabki Indian carpets par yeh 55% tak jaa sakte the. Is difference ki wajah se Indian carpets expensive ho gaye aur clients ne Turkey ki taraf dekhna shuru kar diya. 2023 mein Turkey ne $2.75 billion ke carpets export kiye, jabki India ka total $1.39 billion (FY24) aur $1.54 billion (FY25) tha. US ne 2023 mein lagbhag $3.5 billion ke rugs import kiye. Hand-woven rugs mein 2024 mein US ne $1.59 billion import kiye, jismein India ka share $468 million aur Turkey ka $743 million raha. Ye dikhata hai ki US market mein Turkey ki position kafi strong thi.
Market Ka Mood Aur Global Scene
Trade policy ke alawa, global market trends bhi impact karte hain. Poora carpet aur rug market 2023 mein lagbhag $51.7 billion ka tha aur aage 7-8% CAGR se grow karne ki ummeed hai. Urbanization badhne aur logon ki kharch karne ki capacity zyada hone se yeh market badh raha hai. UK aur UAE mein exports $5.72 million aur $9 million (2023) tak pahunche, par US ki kami poori nahi hui. US mein consumer spending kam hone par ghar ki cheezon par kharcha bhi kam ho jata hai. Ye sector 20 lakh se zyada logon ko rojgar deta hai, jismein zyada tar rural areas se hain, toh global demand aur trade conditions ka asar seedha padta hai.
Nayi Trade Deal Ki Umeed
Ab sabse badi khabar yeh hai ki India aur US ke beech ek nayi trade deal hui hai, jismein Indian goods par tariffs kam karke 18% kar diye gaye hain. Isse Indian exports ko competitiveness wapas milne ki umeed hai, khaskar Bangladesh aur Vietnam jaise countries ke muqable mein, jahan tariffs zyada hain. Analysts ko lagta hai ki isse Indian carpets Turkey se competition mein wapas aa jayenge aur textiles sector mein bhi demand badhegi. Poora asar dikhne mein kuch mahine lag sakte hain kyunki buyers naye contracts banayenge, par ye ek positive sign hai. Indian carpet market 2026 tak $1.18 billion tak pahunchne ka andaaza hai, aur 9.61% CAGR se 2031 tak grow karne ki projection hai, agar trade conditions theek rahein toh.