Toh bhai, company ne numbers kya diye hain! FY26 ke Q4 mein Groww ki parent company Billionbrains Garage Venture ka consolidated net profit pichhle saal ke muqable 122% badhkar ₹686.35 crore ho gaya. Revenue bhi 88% tez hokar ₹1,505.37 crore tak pahunch gaya. EBITDA toh lagbhag double ho gaya, ₹939 crore tak pahunch gaya aur platform ka EBITDA margin bhi 66.93% ke record level par hai! Ye numbers dekhkar hi Motilal Oswal aur Jefferies jaise big brokers ne bhi 'Buy' rating pakki rakhi hai aur target price bhi badha diya hai.
Ye toofani tezi aayi kahan se? Main reason hai company ka strong broking business aur derivatives & MTF (Margin Trading Facility) mein zabardast performance. Q4 mein total orders 58.74 crore execute hue. Broking, MTF aur float income se hi company ki lagbhag 87-88% income aati hai. Equity derivatives mein market share 6.8% se badhkar 10.6% ho gaya hai. Aur MTF book bhi ₹2,810 crore tak pahunch gayi, jisme market share 2.7% ho gaya hai.
Ab baat karte hain valuation ki. Stock ka trailing P/E ratio abhi lagbhag 64x par hai, jo kisi growth stock jaisa lagta hai. Lekin comparison mein dekho toh competitor Angel One ne bhi Q4 mein 83.5% profit badhaya hai aur revenue 38.2% badhkar ₹1,459.4 crore kiya hai. Angel One ka EBDAT margin 41.7% hai, aur uska P/E ratio sirf 32.1x hai. Groww ka EBITDA margin zyada hai, par Angel One ka valuation thoda zyada sensible lag raha hai.
Is growth mein kuch risks bhi chhpe hain. Derivatives aur MTF jaise segments mein regulatory changes ya market volatility ka dar rehta hai. Jefferies ne toh Groww ki tulna US ke Robinhood se bhi ki hai, jisko regulatory issues aaye the. MTF business mein bhi competition badh raha hai. Agar user acquisition slow ho gaya ya trading volumes kam ho gaye, toh high P/E wala stock gir bhi sakta hai. Lekin, analysts ko lagta hai ki EPS 29% ke CAGR se badhega FY26-29 tak. Company MTF aur wealth management mein bhi expansion kar rahi hai. Bas ye growth rate aur margin maintain rakhna ek challenge hoga sabse bade competition aur market mein.
