Whalesbook
Muthuselvaraj M, jo Mirae Asset Sharekhan ke technical analyst hain, unhone bola hai ki Nifty 50 index FY26-27 ke end tak 27,500 ko touch kar sakta hai. Yeh levels current prices se lagbhag 23.15% upar hain. Experts ka kehna hai ki ye target tabhi pakka hoga jab index important support levels ke upar rahega.
Nifty Forecast: Target Aur Support Levels
Ye bullish outlook March 2020 ke COVID lows ke baad se ek strong pattern dikha raha hai. Haan, macroeconomic data, trade wars aur West Asia mein chal rahe tensions se thoda pressure toh hai, but chart structure abhi bhi positive dikh raha hai. Last closing 22,331 par hui thi. Unko lagta hai ki 22,500 par strong support hai, aur agar price neeche aaya toh 21,750 par bhi support mil sakta hai. Yaad hai, FY25-26 ka end Nifty ke liye kuch khaas nahi tha, 5.05% yaani 1,188 points gira tha, mostly March mein 11.3% ki girawat ke karan. FY26 mein toh 26,373 ka all-time high banaya tha January 5, 2026 ko aur April 7, 2025 ko 21,744 ka 52-week low bhi dekha tha.
Technical View: Nifty Ki Position Volatility Ke Beech
Market mein kaafi gadbad machi hui hai, specially US-Iran war ke baad. Isse Nifty apne record peak se 15.3% gir gaya tha. Abhi Nifty apne 200-DMA jo ki 25,369 hai, usse almost 12% neeche trade kar raha hai. Aur 20-DMA jo ki 23,673 hai, usse lagbhag 5.7% shy hai. Angel One wale keh rahe hain ki Nifty 22,000–21,700 ke important support zone ke paas aa raha hai. Yeh range 200-week moving average ke bhi kareeb hai, jise COVID rally ke baad se test nahi kiya gaya tha, isliye ye structurally bahut important level hai. Muthuselvaraj ne yeh bhi bataya ki weekly RSI oversold territory se bahar nikal raha hai, jo buying interest ka sign hai.
MidCap Aur SmallCap Indices Ka Outlook
Chalo ab MidCap aur SmallCap indices ki baat karte hain. Nifty MidCap 150 (last close 19,431) apne peak 22,500 se 15% girne ke baad consolidate kar raha hai aur ek higher bottom pattern bana raha hai. Yeh index 100-week EMA jo ki 20,210 par hai, use test kar raha hai. Isse ek medium se long-term reversal 25,500 tak dikh sakta hai, aur downside risk kam hai. MidCap index ka weekly RSI bhi bottom out ho gaya hai aur oversold condition se nikal raha hai. Lekin Nifty SmallCap 100 (last close 15,204) ka outlook thoda alag hai. Peak 19,700 se 20% se zyada girne ke baad aur ek triangle pattern mein consolidate kar raha hai. Muthuselvaraj ko long-term buying opportunities 20,100 ke aas paas dikh rahi hain, jahan 200-day DMA jo ki 14,570 hai, woh support ka kaam karega. FY27 mein SmallCap index 14,500–20,100 ke range mein trade kar sakta hai.