Toh kya hai poora scene? Nifty futures ke rollovers May series ke liye gir kar 71.4% ho gaye hain. Yeh pichhle 3-6 mahine ke average 72.3% se bhi kam hai, aur pichli expiry ke 77.8% se toh kaafi neeche. Iska simple matlab hai ki traders bade aggressive long positions banane se thoda ruk rahe hain.
Lekin banking sector mein alag hi kahani hai! Bank Nifty futures ka rollover rate 78.6% raha, jo historical numbers se kaafi achha hai. Haalaanki yeh pichli expiry se thoda kam hai, par itna strong level dikhata hai ki financial stocks mein institutions ka interest bana hua hai. Yeh banking aur broader market ke sentiment ka contrast interesting hai.
Baaki market ki baat karein toh, mid aur small caps mein kaafi dum hai! Broad market rollovers 94.7% tak pahunch gaye hain. Yeh numbers pichli expiries aur average se bhi upar hain, jo dikhata hai ki investors ko in stocks par bharosa hai aur May series ke liye ready hain.
Ab thoda cost ki baat karte hain. Nifty futures ko hold karne ka cost, yaani basis, 0.48% se kam ho kar 0.31% ho gaya hai. Bank Nifty ka basis bhi 0.76% se 0.57% ho gaya hai. Yeh kam basis levels dikhate hain ki buyers mein jaldi karne ki urgency kam hai, naye cycle ke liye ek balanced environment ban raha hai.
Konse stocks mein zyada action raha? KPIT Technologies, Sun Pharma, Lupin, NHPC, aur ONGC mein pichhle mahine ke comparison mein rollover rates zyada the, matlab buying interest bana hua hai. Dusri taraf, Vedanta, Tata Consumer Products, Adani Energy Solutions, SBI Life Insurance, aur NTPC mein carry-forward rates kam the, shayad yahan interest kam ho raha hai ya profit taking ho rahi hai.
