Nifty 50 ab ek bahut important support level yaani 22,421 ke paas khada hai. Lagatar 8 hafte se market gir raha hai, aur ab sabki nazrein RBI ki upcoming meeting par tiki hain.
Market ka haal filhal kaafi tension wala hai. Nifty 50 pichle 8 hafton se लगातार gir raha hai aur October 1 ko 22,421.95 par close hua. Ab agla bada hurdle 22,600 se 22,800 ka resistance zone hai, jahan se pehle bhi kaafi selling dekhi gayi hai.
RSI aur Technical Floor
Market ab 'oversold' zone mein dikh raha hai. RSI abhi 22.57 par hai, jo ki 30 ke niche hone ka matlab hai ki stock bohot zyada bik chuka hai. Traders ab 200-week moving average ko 22,378–22,400 ke aas-paas track kar rahe hain. Agar index 22,200 ka level nahi bacha paaya, toh shayad 22,000 tak ki slide dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Macro Pressure Points
Sirf charts nahi, bahar ke halaat bhi mushkil hain. Crude oil ke daam $100 ke upar bane hue hain, jisse inflation ka darr badh gaya hai. Saath hi, US bond yields badhne se foreign investors paisa nikaal rahe hain. Banking stocks phir bhi thode strong dikh rahe hain, par overall sentiment abhi bhi nazuk hai.
RBI Policy ka intezaar
Sabki nazar October 5 se 7 tak hone wali RBI ki Monetary Policy Committee meeting par hai. Market ye dekhna chahta hai ki interest rates aur liquidity ko lekar RBI kya stance leta hai. Jab tak RBI ki taraf se kuch clarity nahi aati, tab tak market mein volatility bani rahegi. Bahut se traders abhi 'wait and watch' mode mein hain.