NSE futures mein trade karte ho? Ek naya study aaya hai jo batata hai ki **59.4%** volume sirf expiry ke **4** din mein hota hai. Iska matlab average volume dekh kar entry lena aapke liye risky ho sakta hai.
Volume ka asli khel samajh lo
Market analytics firm Vtrender ki report ne sabki aankhein khol di hain. September 2026 mein top 100 single-stock futures ka 59.4% volume sirf us 4-din ke expiry window mein hua. Ye concentration August mein 55% tha, jo dikhata hai ki zyada volume bas rollover ki wajah se hai, na ki daily trading interest ki wajah se.
Average vs Median: Kahan phans rahe ho?
Average daily activity 11.40 lakh dikh rahi hai, par median volume sirf 6.59 lakh hai. Iska matlab hai ki bahut se stocks jo aapko liquid lagte hain, wo mahine ke baki dinon mein bilkul 'quiet' hote hain. Agar aap sirf average volume dekh kar bade trades lenge, toh execution mein badi dikkat aa sakti hai.
Stocks ka alag-alag flow
- PB Fintech jaise stocks mein expiry volume regular days se 15.7 guna zyada hota hai.
- Wahi Solar Industries aur Paytm mein volume ka pattern zyada consistent hai (1.9 aur 2.0 multiples).
- Yahan tak ki HDFC Bank, Reliance Industries, aur Infosys jaise bade stocks mein bhi median volume unke average se kafi neeche gir jata hai.
Volatility ka kya scene hai?
August mein implied volatility 90 ke paar chali gayi thi kyunki naye Closing Auction Session (CAS) ko lekar confusion tha. September mein ye thoda cool down hua hai. Traders ke liye lesson simple hai—market ki 'show-off' wali volume aur asal liquidity ke beech ka fark samjho, tabhi trade execution safe rahega.