Trade Deal ka Funda: Tariffs kam, Export zyada!
Dekho, yeh jo US aur India ka naya trade agreement aaya hai na, isne toh solar sector mein jaise aag laga di hai! Saath hi saath, tariffs ko bhi 50% se hata kar seedha 18% kar diya gaya hai. Yeh un companies ke liye badi khabar hai jo apna maal US bhejti hain, kyunki US toh hamara sabse bada export market hai hi, 97% tak shipments wahi jaate hain.
Stocks mein Toofani Tezi!
Is deal ka asar turant dikha. Insolation Energy aur Oriana Power jaise stocks toh February mein hi 24% se bhi upar bhag gaye. Jefferies ke analyst bhi keh rahe hain ki trade deal ke baad India aur iske energy transition mein logon ka interest wapas aa gaya hai.
Par valuations ka kya? Paisa lagane se pehle ye jano!
Lekin ruk jao, sab kuch itna bhi sona nahi hai. Yeh jo stock price mein tezi aayi hai, iske peeche ek bada sawaal hai – valuations ka! Adani Green Energy jaise bade players 99.3 guna forward earnings par trade ho rahe hain, jabki global sector ka average sirf 22 guna hai. JSW Energy bhi 33.7 guna par hai, HBL Engineering 26.9 guna par, aur Oriana Power bhi 25.9 guna par hai. Itna mehnga kon kharedega?
Andar ki baat: Risky hai kya?
Ab thoda andar ki baat karte hain. Adani Green ki baat karein toh MarketsMOJO ne isko 'Strong Sell' bola hai. Company par 8.01 tak ka debt to equity ratio hai aur ROCE sirf 6.78% hai. French company TotalEnergies ne bhi kuch stake bech diya tha. JSW Energy ko bhi MarketsMOJO ne 'Sell' rating di hai. Unka ROCE 7.77% hai, D/E ratio 2.37 hai, aur Q3 results bhi expectations se kam the, jiske baad brokers ne price targets bhi kam kar diye. Insolation Energy ki profitability bhi raw material prices aur competition se affect ho sakti hai, CARE Ratings ne yeh warning di hai. Aur iske liye zyada analysts bhi available nahi hain.
Future Outlook: Thoda sambhal ke!
Toh overall dekha jaye toh export ke mauke toh bade hain, par valuations aur execution ke risks abhi bhi hain. Market experts keh rahe hain ki safalta sirf tariff kam hone se nahi milegi, companies ko apna debt manage karna hoga, efficiency badhani hogi, aur competition se nibatna hoga. Toh thoda soch samajh ke hi paisa lagao bhai!