RBI ki Monetary Policy Committee ka decision aaj aane wala hai aur market mein hype hai ki Repo Rate **25 bps** tak badh sakta hai. Rupee **96.44** ke level par pressure mein trade kar raha hai.
Rate hike ka darr aur inflation ki tension
Sabki nazrein aaj RBI ki policy meeting par hain. Ummeed ki ja rahi hai ki Repo Rate, jo abhi 5.25% hai, usmein 25 bps ka izafa ho sakta hai. Agar aisa hua, toh February 2023 ke baad ye pehla mauka hoga jab rates badhaye jayenge. Inflation ka scene dekhein toh August mein ye 4.82% par pahunch gaya tha, jo July ke 4.45% se kaafi zyada hai. Upar se Brent Crude $100 per barrel ke upar chal raha hai, jo hamari economy ke liye achhi khabar nahi hai.
Liquidity ka chakkar
Sirf interest rates hi nahi, balki system mein maujood INR 4.6 Trillion ki excess liquidity ko manage karna bhi RBI ke liye badi chunauti hai. Market ye dekh raha hai ki central bank isse absorb karne ke liye kya naye tools use karta hai.
Sector par impact
Rate hike ka matlab hai ki loans mehenge ho jayenge. Iska seedha asar Real Estate, Auto, aur NBFCs par padega. Agar banks ne is hike ka burden customers par daala, toh demand thandi ho sakti hai. Halaanki, rupee ko support mil sakta hai kyunki higher yields se foreign capital attract hone ke chances badh jate hain. Ab sab kuch 10:00 AM par aane wale RBI ke official statement par depend karta hai ki aage ka rasta kya hoga.