Global brokerage Nomura ne forecast kiya hai ki RBI December mein **25 basis points** ka rate hike kar sakta hai. Inflation ko control mein rakhne ke liye central bank ye bada kadam utha rahi hai.
RBI ka next move kya hoga?
Nomura ke experts ka kehna hai ki December policy meeting mein RBI repo rate ko 25 basis points se badha sakta hai. Iska main reason retail inflation ko control mein laana hai taaki prices comfort zone mein bani rahein.
MPC ke andar kya chal raha hai?
October ki Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ki minutes se saaf pata chalta hai ki members mein thoda disagreement hai. Jahan internal officials tight policy ke favour mein hain, wahin kuch external members ka kehna hai ki zyada rate hike se economic growth aur consumer demand par bura asar pad sakta hai.
Ek baat toh clear hai—RBI ka focus currency bachane ke bajaye domestic economy ki stability par zyada hai. Woh Rupee ke upar-neeche hone se zyada inflation ko target kar rahe hain.
Investors aur Borrowers ke liye matlab?
Agar ye hike hota hai, toh businesses aur individuals ke liye cost of capital badh jayega. Iska sidha asar Banking, Real Estate, aur Consumer Durables jaise sectors par padega. Investors ko ab 2026 ke end tak high interest rates ka mood bana kar chalna chahiye.
Nomura ka maanna hai ki December ke baad shayad RBI 'wait and watch' mode mein aa jaye. Ab sabki nazar agle policy announcement par hai, jo bataega ki ye tightening cycle khatam ho rahi hai ya 2027 ki shuruat mein aur hikes aayenge.