Stock Price Gira Analyst Optimism Ke Baad Bhi?
Ye thoda weird hai, par hua hai! UBS ne CG Power ka price target 7% badha kar ₹900 kar diya, aur 'buy' rating bhi maintain rakhi. Unko lagta hai ki power segment mein company bahut strong ho rahi hai. Par market ne yeh sab ignore kar diya aur stock 1.5% neeche chala gaya. Lagta hai abhi sab immediate profit pe zyada dhyaan de rahe hain, long-term growth pe kam. UBS ka ₹900 ka target matlab stock abhi ke current price se 32% tak badh sakta hai. Fir bhi, company ka P/E ratio ~96x hai, jo bahut high hai. Iska matlab investors future growth se badi ummeedein laga kar baithe hain, aur Q3 results ne unko thoda udaas kiya.
Q3 Results Par Semiconductor Losses Ka Asar
CG Power ke Q3 FY26 (December 2025 tak) results mix rahe. Revenue 26.22% badh kar ₹3,175.35 crore ho gaya aur EBITDA 30% badh kar ₹474 crore ho gaya. Par profit aur margin expectations se kam the. Iska main reason hai company ka naya semiconductor assembly aur test (OSAT) business, jahan ₹40 crore ka EBITDA loss hua (last quarter mein ₹21 crore tha). Is segment mein investment, jaise hiring aur facility setup, ki wajah se Q3 FY26 mein overall margins par ₹41 crore ka pressure pada. OSAT ke liye ₹7,600 crore ka investment plan hai, aur Sanand facility M2 December 2026 tak ready hogi. Yeh sab long-term plans hain, par abhi short-term mein company ke numbers ko affect kar rahe hain.
Standalone Operations Aur Power Segment Mein Dum
Company ke standalone operations mein sab theek hai. Sales 22% up thi aur Profit Before Tax (PBT) 35% badh kar ₹454 crore ho gaya, jisse margin 15.6% raha. Aur, company ne ₹1.30 per equity share ka interim dividend bhi declare kiya hai FY25-26 ke liye. Sabse achhi baat hai ki Power Systems segment mein sales 44% badhi hai aur order backlog ₹11,289 crore ho gaya hai, jo 89% zyada hai. Electrical equipment market bhi 14.3% annually grow hone ka estimate hai.
Future Mein Risks Bhi Hain
Sab kuch achha dikh raha hai par risks bhi hain. Semiconductor segment mein losses abhi bhi company ke profit ko affect kar sakte hain. Stock ka high P/E ratio (~96x) matlab investors ko perfection chahiye, aur chhoti si mistake bhi badi ho sakti hai. Export margins ko badhana bhi ek challenge hai.
Analysts Abhi Bhi Bullish Hain
Analysts log abhi bhi CG Power ko lekar positive hain. Total 17 analysts mein se 13 'buy' rating de rahe hain, aur average target ₹692.44 hai. UBS ke ₹900 target ke saath, company lagta hai sector mein sabse zyada earnings growth de sakti hai. December 31, 2025 tak consolidated order backlog ₹15,753 crore tha, jo future revenues ke liye achha signal hai.