BHEL ke stock mein aisi kya baat hai jo 18 saal ka record todh rahi hai?
Iske peeche sabse bada reason hai company ka mind-blowing order book jo ₹2.4 lakh crore tak pahunch gaya hai. Matlab, next few years ki revenue ki guarantee si ho gayi hai! Is fiscal mein hi unhone ₹75,000 crore ke naye orders pakde hain, jisme NTPC ka ₹13,500 crore ka bada project bhi shamil hai. Stock abhi tak ₹398.95 ke level tak pahunch gaya hai, jo ki 18 saal ka sabse uncha hai. Company ne FY26 mein revenue growth bhi 18% dikhaya hai aur 8.9 GW power capacity bhi commission ki hai. Ye sab dekh kar JM Financial aur ICICI Securities jaise experts ne 'BUY' rating di hai aur target ₹358-₹370 rakha hai. Morgan Stanley ka bhi 'Overweight' rating ke saath target ₹444 hai.
Par valuation ka scene kya hai?
Ab yahan thoda twist hai. Jab hum BHEL ke valuation ko doosre bade companies jaise Larsen & Toubro (L&T), Siemens India, aur KEC International se compare karte hain, toh BHEL ka Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio kaafi high lag raha hai. Ye ratio 87.72 se lekar 111.6 tak ja raha hai, jabki L&T ka 31.70 ke aas paas hai. Haan, BHEL ka profit pichle saal 199.7% bada hai, lekin Return on Equity (ROE) sirf 6.1% hai, jo thoda kam hai.
Aage chal kar kya challenges aa sakti hain?
Isi valuation ko dekh kar Prabhudas Lilladher jaise kuch analysts ne 'Reduce' rating de di hai, keh rahe hain ki stock abhi stretched hai. Is ₹2.4 lakh crore ke order book ko execute karna bhi aasan nahi hoga, delays ya cost overruns ka risk reh sakta hai. Input costs badhne ka risk bhi hai. Finance ki baat karein toh interest coverage ratio 2.7x aur debt-to-equity ratio 30.4% hai, jo badh raha hai. Agar government ki policy mein koi change aaya toh bhi revenue par impact pad sakta hai.
