Toh kya hua exactly?
Dekho, Antony Waste ne Q3 mein sales toh 8% badha li, ₹249.2 crore se ₹269.3 crore tak le gaye. MSW Collection & Transportation (C&T) mein bhi 8% aur MSW Processing mein toh 12% ka jump aaya. Lekin asli maal toh margins mein dab gaya. EBITDA 15% gir kar ₹49.6 crore ho gaya, aur EBITDA margin 23.5% se neeche 18.4% par aa gaya. Is wajah se Profit Before Tax (PBT) toh 48% toot gaya aur Net Profit (PAT) bhi 27% kam hokar sirf ₹11.5 crore reh gaya. Is baar EPS bhi ₹5.6 se gir kar ₹4.1 ho gaya.
Aur 9 Mahine (9MFY26) ki baat karein toh revenue 11% badh kar ₹787.8 crore hua, par PAT 5% gir gaya ₹42.9 crore par. Poore FY25 mein revenue 7% badha, EBITDA 9% badha, par PAT thoda kam ho gaya.
Kahan hai asli problem?
Sabse badi chinta margin kam hone ki hai, jisne profit par seedha attack kiya. Cash flow operations se toh ₹187.2 crore FY25 mein achha generate hua hai, yeh ek positive point hai. Lekin Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) 12.3% aur Return on Equity (ROE) 11.6% par aa gaya hai, jo ki kam ho raha hai. Matlab company apne paise par ya lagaye hue assets par pehle jaisa return nahi bana pa rahi hai.
Management kya soch raha hai aur kya hai risks?
Management ne future ke liye koi specific numbers toh nahi bataye hain. Unka focus growth par hai WTE (Waste-to-Energy), Segregation, aur Bio-Mining jaisi cheezon se, aur non-municipal clients ko bhi pakadne ka plan hai. Par asli risk yeh hai ki kya yeh margin squeeze rukega? Agar operating kharchhe badhte rahe ya pricing pressure raha toh profit par dabaav bana rahega. PPE (Property, Plant & Equipment) mein ~43% YoY investment badha hai, lekin yeh investment kab returns laayega, yeh dekhna hoga. Investors ko ab Q4 ke results aur margins mein recovery par nazar rakhni hogi.