Whalesbook
Dekho bhai, ye methane ka leak itna serious hai ki IEA (International Energy Agency) keh rahi hai ki coal mines se nikalne wali methane, oil ya gas industries mein se kisi ek ke barabar hai. Kuch reports toh yahan tak keh rahi hain ki agar coal mines ko ek alag entity maanein toh woh teesra sabse bada global emitter ban jayegi!
Aur tension wali baat ye hai ki 2021 se coal production toh badh rahi hai ( 8,100 million tonnes se 8,650 million tonnes ho gayi), lekin methane emissions practically same hi hain. Global Methane Pledge ka target 30% kam karne ka tha 2030 tak, par yahan toh target meet karna mushkil ho jayega!
Sabse zyada tension China ke upar hai, jo akela estimated 76% emissions ke liye responsible hai. Baaki India, US, Russia, Australia, Poland, Ukraine bhi iss list mein hain. Agar proper monitoring ho toh isse bada impact ho sakta hai. Par asli problem ye hai ki 99% coal production ke liye bas general emission factors use ho rahe hain, direct measurement toh milta hi nahi.
Par achhi baat ye hai ki VAM (Ventilation Air Methane) jaise tech hain jo 54-63% emissions reduce kar sakte hain 2030 tak, aur iska 12% toh bina kisi kharch ke ho sakta hai kyunki gas bechi ya use ki ja sakti hai. Saath mein 15 billion cubic metres gas capture karne ka potential hai, matlab ek badi economic opportunity haath se ja rahi hai!
Ye saara khel toh reporting aur transparency ka hai. Bas 23 desh UNFCCC ko data de rahe hain, 73 mein se! Baaki sab chup hain ya data nahi de rahe. Aur jo data aa raha hai, usmein bhi 6 bade emitters apni emissions kam bata rahe hain independent reports ke hisaab se.
EU ne ek Methane Regulation nikala hai, par abhi toh ye refine ho raha hai. US mein bhi efforts hain, par abandoned mines se nikalne wala methane ek bada challenge bana hua hai.
Ab future outlook kya hai? Methane abatement tech ka market $8.64 billion tak pahunchne wala hai 2033 tak, matlab 8.6% CAGR se grow karega. Asia Pacific region toh sabse tez 10.2% CAGR se grow karega 2033 tak, industrialization aur govt focus ki wajah se. Abhi oil-gas sector sabse zyada tech use kar raha hai, par coal mining sector mein bhi ek bada, abhi unexplored scope hai.
Experts ka kehna hai ki 50% se zyada global CMM emissions ko $230 USD per tonne se kam cost mein capture kiya ja sakta hai. Par iske liye toh sabse pehle sahi monitoring, transparent reporting aur action chahiye. Nahi toh climate goals toh bas sapne hi reh jayenge, bhai!