Rates Stable, Par Companies Ka Dil Bada!
Dekho, 23 March 2026 ko Delhi mein petrol ₹94.77 aur diesel ₹87.67 per litre tha. Mumbai mein bhi almost same rate chal rahe hain. Ye prices May 2022 se change nahi hue hain, mostly govt ke tax rules aur companies ke khud cost absorb karne ki wajah se. Par ab andar hi andar problems badh rahi hain.
Crude Oil Bhaga, Rupee Gira, Sab Tension Mein!
Ek side pe Brent crude $110 ke aas paas hai aur WTI $98 ke kareeb. Middle East mein jo chal raha hai, uski wajah se prices aur badh rahe hain. Upar se Indian Rupee dollar ke saamne ₹93 pe aa gaya hai. India apna 85-88% crude oil import karta hai, toh jab import cost badhti hai aur currency kamzor hoti hai, toh companies ke liye yeh ek bada jhatka hai. Wo yeh extra kharcha khud utha rahe hain.
Analysts Bole: Profit Ka Toh Band Baj Gaya!
Is situation ko dekh kar bade-bade analysts bhi chintit hain. Kotak Institutional Equities ne toh IOCL, BPCL, aur HPCL par 'Sell' rating de di hai. Unka kehna hai ki FY27 ke liye profit forecasts ko kaafi kam karna padega agar crude oil rates aise hi rahe.
UBS ne bhi IOC aur BPCL ko 'Neutral' aur HPCL ko 'Sell' kar diya hai. Stock ki valuation dekho toh IOCL ka P/E ratio sirf 5.6x hai, jo industry average 16.6x se bahut kam hai. BPCL aur HPCL bhi 4.5x se 6.8x ke beech mein hain. Ye shows karta hai ki market ko bhi pata hai ki companies ka profit pressure mein hai.
Aage Kya? Elections Aur Global Tension Ka Risk
Abhi jo oil companies prices ko hold kar rahi hain, usmein elections ka bhi factor hai. Aane wale time mein agar crude prices aur bhage, toh sarkar price badhane se pehle do baar sochegi, khaas kar jab state elections hone wale hain. Iska poora bojh companies par aa sakta hai. Global tensions, jaise Iran aur Strait of Hormuz mein jo ho raha hai, woh bhi ek bada risk factor hai. India jo itna import karta hai, uske liye yeh sab ek badi chunauti hai.