Demand ka Toofan, Analysts Khush!
India mein bijli ki demand aane waale saalon mein zabardast badhne wali hai, kareeb 7.2% saalana hisaab se FY25 se FY30 tak. Yeh growth pichhle dashak se kaafi zyada hai, kyunki data centers badh rahe hain, gharon mein electronics ka use zyada ho raha hai, aur sarkar bhi fuel imports kam karne par zor de rahi hai. Isi ko dekhte hue BofA Securities ne teen bade power stocks - Power Grid Corporation, NTPC, aur NHPC - ko upgrade kiya hai.
Brokerage Ka Call Aur Target Price Mein Badhotri
BofA Securities ne Power Grid Corporation ka target price ₹301 se badha kar ₹340 kar diya hai. NTPC ke liye target ₹352 se ₹432 ho gaya hai. Aur NHPC ko toh 'Underperform' se sidha 'Buy' rating mil gayi hai, target ₹70 se badha kar ₹88 kar diya gaya hai. Yeh sab isliye kyunki woh 7.2% ki demand growth expect kar rahe hain. Power Grid ke execution plans bhi behtar lag rahe hain aur unka capex bhi badhaya gaya hai.
Par Market Ne Khel Badal Diya?
Abhi taqreeban March 2026 mein, jab yeh news aayi, Power Grid Corporation ka share sirf 0.55% hi badha. Aur asal mein, NTPC aur NHPC ke shares toh 2.36% aur 1.95% tak gir gaye the. Yeh dikhata hai ki sirf analysts ke positive outlook se kaam nahi chal raha, investors kuch aur cheezein bhi dekh rahe hain.
Valuation Ki Chinta Aur Sector Ke Challenges
Agar aap dekhein toh April 2025 tak BSE Power Index ne bhi market se kam perform kiya hai. NHPC ka Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio lagbhag 24.42 hai (March 17, 2026 tak), jo uske competitors jaise NTPC (P/E 15.28) aur Power Grid Corpn (P/E 17.83) se kaafi upar hai. Isse investors soch sakte hain ki kya stock mehengai mein mil raha hai. Sector mein grid ko upgrade karne ki bhi badi zaroorat hai aur renewable energy ko integrate karna bhi ek challenge hai.
Aage Ka Rasta Aur Investment Ki Zaroorat
Power sector ko aage chal kar lagbhag US$145 billion ka investment chahiye hoga apni growth aur climate targets poore karne ke liye. Sarkaar bhi energy security aur demand management par dhyan de rahi hai. Kuch aur brokers jaise Antique Stock Broking aur Motilal Oswal bhi sector ke liye achha future dekh rahe hain, khaas kar market corrections ke baad. Toh BofA ki upgrades short term mein fayda de sakti hain, par long term mein companies ko grid, regulations aur competition ko manage karna hoga.