Whalesbook
WTO Mein Digital Trade Par Takraav
Yaoundé, Cameroon mein jo WTO ki 14th Ministerial Conference (MC14) hui thi, woh be-natija rahi. Ismein woh moratorium, jo 1998 se chal raha tha aur digital products ko bina tax ke cross-border bhejne deta tha, usko extend karne ka koi agreement nahi ho paya. Ab yeh rule March 30, 2026 ko khatam ho raha hai, matlab companies ko ab digital cheezon par duty deni pad sakti hai. Ismein sabse bada jhagda US aur developing countries jaise India, Brazil, aur Turkey ke beech mein tha. US chahta tha ki yeh moratorium hamesha ke liye rahe taaki digital trade mein koi tax na lage, jabki baaki desh apni flexibility chahte the.
India Ka Stand: Paisa Aur Autonomy Zaroori Hai
India ne toh saaf keh diya ki is moratorium ko permanent nahi banaya jayega. India ka kehna hai ki is rule ki wajah se saal mein lagbhag $500 million ka customs duty ka nuksan ho sakta hai. Agar sab developing countries ko mila dein toh yeh nuksan $56 billion tak ja sakta hai. India ka argument hai ki yeh rule tab bana tha jab digital trade naya tha, ab yeh revenue ko rok raha hai aur digital economy ko manage karna mushkil bana raha hai. Wahi, US Trade Representative chahta hai ki companies ke liye predictable aur duty-free trade ho sake.
US Ne Banaya Apna Group!
WTO mein baat na banne ke baad, US ne turant 22 deshon ka ek group bana liya hai jismein Japan, South Korea, aur Australia jaise desh hain. In sab ne milkar yeh promise kiya hai ki woh aapas mein is moratorium ko follow karte rahenge. US dusre deshon ko bhi is group mein aane ka invite kar raha hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ki agar sab milkar koi ek rule nahi bana paaye, toh alag-alag group apne rules bana lenge. Yeh global digital trade ke liye alag-alag rules bana sakta hai aur cheezein complicated ho sakti hain.
Digital Trade Ka Bikhra Hua Landscape
Moratorium ke expire hone se global digital economy mein uncertainty aa gayi hai. US aur uske allies ise trade growth ke liye zaroori mante hain, jabki developing countries ise revenue badhane aur apne rules banane ka mauka dekh rahe hain. OECD ne kaha hai ki moratorium se total customs revenue ka sirf 0.68% ka nuksan hota hai, lekin kuch deshon ke liye yeh kafi zyada hai. Jaise Indonesia aur Nigeria ko saal mein millions of dollars ka nuksan ho sakta hai. Chhote trade blocs ki taraf badhna WTO ke role ko bhi kamzor karta hai. Agar koi clear global standard nahi bana toh alag-alag desh apne national digital tax laga sakte hain, jisse businesses ke liye cost badh jayegi aur innovation bhi slow ho sakti hai. Global e-commerce sales $24.90 trillion tak pahunchne ki ummeed hai 2026 tak aur $83 trillion tak 2035 tak, isliye stable rules zaroori hain.