Super El Niño Alert: Summer 2026 mein Badlega Mausam, India ki Economy pe Bada Khatra!

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AuthorKavya Nair|Published at:
Super El Niño Alert: Summer 2026 mein Badlega Mausam, India ki Economy pe Bada Khatra!
Overview

Bhaiyo aur behno, suno! Pacific Ocean mein ek rare 'Super El Niño' event banne wala hai, aur ye summer 2026 tak poore world ka mausam badal sakta hai. Forecasts keh rahi hain ki ye century ke sabse strong El Niño mein se ek ho sakta hai, jisse bade climate changes aa sakte hain. India ka monsoon bhi iss se affect ho sakta hai, jisse kheti aur economy dono pe risk hai.

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Kya Sach mein El Niño aa raha hai?

Dekho, equatorial Pacific Ocean mein El Niño banne ke chances kaafi zyada lag rahe hain. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) aur US Climate Prediction Center dono hi keh rahe hain ki ye ek 'super El Niño' ban sakta hai. El Niño basically ENSO ka warmer phase hota hai, jismein Pacific ki hawayein kamzor pad jaati hain aur samundar ka paani garam ho jata hai.

Kitne Chances Hain Aur Kitna Strong Hoga?

NOAA ke data ke according, June se August 2026 ke beech El Niño hone ke 62% chances hain. July-September mein ye chances 70% se upar aur August-October tak 80% ho sakte hain. Multi-model forecasts bhi confirm kar rahe hain ki summer 2026 tak El Niño conditions aa jayengi. Pacific mein sea surface temperature, average se 2°C upar jaane ki umeed hai, jo ki El Niño ke liye 0.5°C threshold se kaafi zyada hai. Matlab, ye ek bahut hi potent event ho sakta hai.

Past mein 'Super El Niño' ne kya kiya tha?

Jab bhi 'super El Niño' aaya hai (last time 1982-83, 1997-98, aur 2015-16 mein), puri duniya mein badi gadbad hui hai. 2015-16 wale ne toh record global temperatures aur coral bleaching ki thi. Ye powerful El Niños 'climate regime shifts' bhi la sakte hain, matlab mausam mein lambe time tak chalne wale bade badlav. India ke Central South Asia wale hisse mein isse lambi droughts aa sakti hain, aur soil moisture bhi kaafi change ho sakta hai.

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Disclaimer:This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or trading advice, nor a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Readers should consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions, as markets involve risk and past performance does not guarantee future results. The publisher and authors accept no liability for any losses. Some content may be AI-generated and may contain errors; accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Views expressed do not reflect the publication’s editorial stance.