Whalesbook
Election Promises ka 'Fiscal Illusion' Trap!
Jab bhi elections nazdeek aate hain, India ki states mein welfare schemes ki bauchaar ho jaati hai. Parties vote jeetne ke liye cash transfers, freebies, aur higher pensions ke bade bade promises karti hain. Isse voter ko toh immediate khushi milti hai, par woh ye nahi dekhta ki iska long-term cost kya hai. Isi ko 'fiscal illusion' kehte hain – jismein future ka nuksaan chhup jata hai.
States ki Jeb ho rahi hai khaali!
RBI ka data bata raha hai ki states ka welfare spending GDP ka lagbhag 2% ho gaya hai. Aur iska asar state finances par dikh raha hai. Tamil Nadu ka debt uske GSDP ka 25% se zyada hai, Kerala ka mid-30% range mein hai, aur West Bengal toh high-30% ke aas paas pahunch gaya hai. Ye numbers bahot high hain aur states ki future policy options ko limit kar dete hain. Jo promises ek baar ho gaye, unhe hataana bhi mushkil ho jaata hai.
Development Projects ko Laga Sabotage?
Sabse badi dikkat ye hai ki jo paisa long-term investments, jaise ki justice system ko theek karna, usmein lagna chahiye tha, woh abhi welfare schemes mein ja raha hai. Iski wajah se NCLT aur ITAT jaise important tribunals mein staff ki kami ho rahi hai; lagbhag one-third posts khali hain. Iske chalte cases solve hone mein bahut time lag raha hai, aur Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) jaisi crucial reforms ka impact bhi kam ho raha hai. Cases ki delays ki wajah se creditors ko 60-70% tak ka nuksaan ho raha hai, jo ki targeted 330-day resolution time se bahut zyada hai.
Supreme Court ka Role?
Ab is sab ka clear picture kya hoga, ye Supreme Court decide karegi. S. Subramaniam Balaji vs. Govt. of Tamil Nadu case mein court decide karegi ki kya election se pehle aise welfare promises karna sahi hai ya nahi. Agar court koi clear guidelines nahi deti, toh parties yehi risky khel khelti rahegi.
Future mein Kya Risks Hain?
Agar states ne apni finances ko theek nahi kiya aur bas popular schemes par focus kiya, toh debt aur badhega. Ye states ko economic shocks ke liye aur vulnerable bana dega. Development projects mein paisa na lagne se India ki overall growth bhi slow ho sakti hai. Court ka final decision financial discipline aur responsible governance ke liye bohot important hoga.