India ka illegal trade market ab **₹7.98 lakh crore** tak pahunch gaya hai. E-commerce aur social media ke misuse se counterfeit goods market mein flood ho rahe hain, jo FMCG aur tobacco sectors ke margins ke liye bada threat hai. Saath hi, FY25 mein **₹2.23 lakh crore** ka GST evasion detect hua hai.
Asli maal ya nakli? Digital mode mein badh raha hai illegal trade
India ka shadow economy scene ₹7.98 lakh crore (FY23 data) par pahunch chuka hai. Pehle smuggling ki limit hoti thi, par ab criminal networks social media aur e-commerce platforms ka use karke seedha customers tak nakli aur smuggled maal pahuncha rahe hain. Inka digital presence itna strong hai ki asli aur nakli mein farak karna mushkil ho gaya hai.
Investors ke liye kyun hai ye headache?
FMCG, tobacco, alcohol, aur agrochemicals sector mein iska sidha impact dikh raha hai. Tobacco sector ki halat toh ye hai ki 26.1% total consumption volume ab illicit market se aa raha hai (as of 2025). Jab itna bada hissa bina tax diye market mein bikega, toh listed companies ke margins aur market share par pressure aana toh pakka hai. Agar aapka portfolio in sectors mein hai, toh volume stagnation par nazar zaroor rakhein, kyunki ye cheap, untaxed maal companies ki pricing power ko khatam kar raha hai.
GST Evasion ka bada game
Sirf black market hi nahi, government ke liye tax collection bhi ek challenge hai. FY25 mein authorities ne ₹2.23 lakh crore ka GST evasion pakda hai! Ismein se ₹58,772 crore toh sirf fake invoices aur Input Tax Credit (ITC) fraud se related hain. 2020 se 2025 ke beech total ₹7.08 lakh crore ki tax chori pakdi gayi hai, jabki recovery sirf ₹1.29 lakh crore ki hui hai.
Regulatory agencies ab digital tracking aur intelligence-based raids kar rahi hain, lekin ye illicit networks kaafi fast move kar rahe hain. Companies ke liye ab supply chain security aur digital compliance sirf formality nahi, balki survival ke liye zaroori hai.