Whalesbook
Jab se PM Modi ne Israel mein speech di, tab se India ka West Asia policy game thoda alag ho gaya hai. Pehle toh India sabse accha balance bana ke rakhta tha - Gulf countries, Israel aur Iran sabse achi dosti thi. Ye energy security aur strategic access ke liye mast tha.
Lekin pichle kuch saalon se, khaas kar 2019 ke baad, India US ke saath chalne laga, jo Iran ko thoda alag karna chahte the. Jaise Abraham Accords se Israel aur Gulf countries ne hath milaya, aur I2U2 group (India, Israel, UAE, US) ne banaya jo regional investments pe focus karta hai. Ab toh G20 mein IMEC bhi launch ho gaya, jo ek naya route hai jo traditional Persian Gulf dependencies ko bypass karta hai.
Ye sab US aur Israel ke saath rishte toh strong kar raha hai, par Iran ke saath connection kamzor ho gaya. Abhi West Asia mein tensions badh rahi hain, aur energy markets mein volatility aa gayi hai. India toh bhai, apna almost saara oil import karta hai, toh prices badhne se economy pe seedha impact padta hai. Stagflation ka bhi dar hai.
Government thoda late react kar rahi hai, aur tensions kam karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, par yeh sab foreign policy choices ka hi nateeja hai. Iran toh hamesha se India ke liye important raha hai – cheap energy aur Central Asia jaane ka route deta tha. US ke pressure ki wajah se pehle bhi Iran se deal karna mushkil tha. Experts bol rahe hain ki jo balanced approach tha, usse hatne se India ki economy mein vulnerabilities aa gayi hain, jiska asar long term tak reh sakta hai.