Whalesbook
Aakhir Rupee gir kyu raha hai?
Dekho, Brent crude oil prices $115 per barrel ke aas-paas hain, jisse apna import bill badh gaya hai. India tel import karta hai, toh jab tel mehnga hota hai, toh dollars zada kharch karne padte hain. Isse market mein dollars ki kami ho jati hai aur Rupee kamzor padta hai. Yeh situation India ki balance of payments ke liye bhi problematic hai.
Aur kaun se factors hain pressure mein?
Ek badi wajah hai Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) ka paisa withdraw karna. Jab woh Indian market se shares bech kar paisa nikalte hain, toh woh bhi dollars ko market se lekar jaate hain, jis se Rupee par aur pressure aata hai.
Plus, West Asia mein jo tension chal rahi hai, usse bhi investors thoda nervous hain. Unko lagta hai kahin supply chain na toot jaaye ya energy prices aur na bhadak jaayein. UAE ka OPEC se alag hona bhi oil market mein uncertainty badha raha hai.
Experts kya bol rahe hain?
LKP Securities ke Jateen Trivedi ka kehna hai ki Rupee mein abhi selling pressure dikh raha hai. Woh keh rahe hain ki 94.40 ke aas-paas resistance hai aur 95.25 next major support level ho sakta hai. Matlab, filhaal to yeh volatile hi rahega.
Baaki, US Fed ki policy decision ka bhi sabko intezaar hai ki aage interest rates kaise move karenge. Aur haan, March mein India ki industrial production growth bhi kam ho kar sirf 4.1% rah gayi hai, jo economic momentum par chinta badha rahi hai. Stock markets (Sensex aur Nifty) toh thoda badhe the, par FIIs ke selling pressure ke saamne woh bhi kamzor pad gaye.