Whalesbook
Aaj subah Indian equity markets mein giravat dikhne ki puri ummeed hai, bilkul global markets ki tarah jahan kaafi cautious mahaul bana hua hai. GIFT Nifty futures filhaal 23,417 ke aas-paas trade kar rahe hain, jo Nifty50 index ke liye ek kamzor opening ka sign de raha hai. Yaad dilana chahunga ki Nifty50 ne Tuesday ko 23,618 par close kiya tha.
Sabse badi chintaayein hain badhti hui oil prices, US Treasury bond yields ka tezi se upar jaana, aur Iran se judi geopolitical tensions. Ye sab factors milkar investors ka confidence gira rahe hain.
Global Markets Ka Haal
Poori duniya ke markets mein aajkal tension ka mahaul hai. Geopolitical tensions aur US bond yields mein tez izafa dikh raha hai. Aaj Asian markets bhi lagbhag 0.6% gire hain. US ke 30-year Treasury bond ka yield 2007 ke baad sabse oonche level par pahunch gaya hai, jo inflation aur economic uncertainty ko lekar chinta badha raha hai. Jab US mein yields badhte hain, toh emerging markets jaise India se paisa nikal kar wahan jaane lagta hai, kyunki dollar-denominated assets zyada attractive ho jaate hain.
Iran Tension Aur Badhti Oil Prices
Iran mein jo conflict chal raha hai, uski wajah se crude oil prices bhi high hain. Ye Bharat ke liye badi chinta ki baat hai, kyunki hum apni oil ki zaroorat ka lagbhag 85% import karte hain. Zyada oil import karne se Indian rupee kamzor ho sakta hai aur economy mein inflation bhi badh sakti hai.
FIIs Ki Lagatar Selling
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) ne Tuesday ko bhi shares beche hain. Unhone ₹2,457.49 crore ke Indian shares offload kiye hain. Is saal ab tak FIIs ne lagbhag USD 23 billion ka paisa market se bahar nikal liya hai, jo pichhle saal ke total se bhi zyada hai. Foreign investors ki yeh lagatar selling Indian markets par pressure banane ka sabse bada reason hai.
Technical Charts Kya Keh Rahe Hain?
Technical charts ko dekhein toh Nifty50 index filhaal 23,300 aur 23,800 ke beech mein fluctuate ho raha hai. Daily chart par ek chhota bearish candle dikh raha hai jiski upper wick badi hai, yeh ishara de raha hai ki higher levels par selling pressure aa raha hai. Index apne important moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur momentum indicators jaise RSI aur MACD bhi aur giravat ka ishara de rahe hain. Agar market ko thoda theek hona hai toh use 23,800 ke upar sustain karna hoga. Neeche ki taraf 23,300 par support hai.
Market volatility ko measure karne wala India VIX thoda kam hokar 18.67 ho gaya hai, par abhi bhi high level par hai. Banking index bhi kamzor dikh raha hai aur moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai.