Toh hua kya hai, dosto? US aur India ke beech jo lamba chal raha trade dispute tha, finally solve ho gaya hai. Iska sabse bada impact market par dikha. Jab yeh news aayi ki tariffs ko 18% tak kam kar diya gaya hai (pehle yeh 50% tak the), toh Indian stock market mein ekdum se aag lag gayi.
Kya hua market mein?
Is deal ke baad, benchmark Sensex 2.54% bhadka aur 83,739.13 par band hua. Wahin, Nifty 50 bhi 2.55% tez ho kar 25,727.55 par pahunch gaya. Is poori rally mein BSE listed companies ki market cap mein ₹12.1 lakh crore ka izafa hua, aur ab yeh total ₹467.1 lakh crore (yaani $5.16 trillion) ho gayi hai. Sabse interesting baat yeh hai ki foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) bhi excited dikhe aur unhone market mein ₹5,236 crore daal diye. Isse pehle saal bhar mein unka paisa nikal raha tha, woh trend ab palta hai. Aur apna Indian Rupee bhi 1% se zyada strong ho gaya, 90.27 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai.
Global Supply Chain ka naya champion India?
Yeh trade deal 'China Plus One' strategy ke liye bahut important hai. Ab companies apna production sirf China par depend karne ke bajaye India jaise deshon mein bhi shift karengi. Jab tariffs kam ho gaye hain toh US market mein Indian products ki competitiveness badh gayi hai. Iska seedha fayda electronic manufacturing services (EMS), auto ancillaries, textile, aur specialty chemicals sectors ko hoga. Businesses ab tariff ki chinta chhod kar production badhane par focus kar payenge.
Yaad hai na, pichle saal India ka market Asia mein sabse weak performer tha? Yeh deal us uncertainty ko khatam karti hai aur India ki global market mein position mazboot karti hai. India ka market ab $5.3 trillion (2025 tak) ka ho chuka hai aur duniya mein fourth largest hai.
Aage kya hoga?
Analysts ka kehna hai ki yeh deal, government ke recent fiscal measures ke saath mil kar, foreign investment aur manufacturing ke liye achha mahol banayegi. Aaj Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, aur State Bank of India jaise bade stocks ne market ko sabse zyada boost diya. Brokerages bhi positive hain. Jaise ICICI Bank ka target ₹1750 hai, aur Reliance Industries ko 2028-2030 tak ₹1950 se ₹2600 tak pahunchne ka andaza hai, unke new energy aur digital ventures ke chalte. Filhaal, Sensex ka P/E ratio 22.5 aur Nifty ka 22.4 ke aas paas hai, jo dikhata hai ki rally robust hai aur earnings growth ke saath abhi bhi space hai.