Whalesbook
Global Markets Toh Chaaye Hue Hain! New peaks bana rahe hain, mostly AI rally aur US ke Middle East tensions kam hone ke positive signs ki wajah se. In sabse asset prices badh gayi hain aur oil prices bhi thoda niche aa gayi hain. Par apna Indian stock market is boom mein zyada hissa nahi le paa raha, mainly kyuki AI sector mein apna involvement kaafi kam hai.
Geopolitical tensions abhi bhi ek bada issue hain, jisse supply chain par pressure badh raha hai. New York Fed ka Global Supply Chain Pressure Index 2022 ke baad sabse high level par pahunch gaya hai. Iska matlab shipping costs badh rahi hain aur inflation bhi aa sakti hai. Experts ka kehna hai ki commodities par iss saal 'war premium' rahega, jo existing economic risks ko aur badhayega.
Is pure uncertainty mein, investors ko company-wise approach rakha padega. Jo companies apne input costs badhne ke bawajood apni prices easily badha sakti hain (yani jinke paas strong pricing power hai), woh zyada stable rahengi. For example, Aarti Industries aur Navin Fluorine jaise companies iss situation ko manage kar rahi hain. Marico bhi expect kar raha hai ki FY27 tak unke profit margins improve honge, partly input costs kam hone ki wajah se.
Company ke andar ki demand bhi ek strong support de sakti hai. Carmakers jaise Hero MotoCorp aur Bajaj Auto apne premium products par focus karke, EV expansion aur exports ke saath, apne profit margins ko protect kar rahe hain. SJS Enterprises bhi ek solid order book ke saath, premium offerings aur new auto clients se growth expect kar raha hai.
Waise toh hum AI race mein leading nahi hain, par Indian companies AI ko productivity badhane ke liye use kar rahi hain, jaise Coforge aur Meesho. Aur jin firms ke paas bade order backlogs hain, woh short-term market swings ke khilaaf ek acha buffer provide karte hain. Larsen & Toubro ka kehna hai ki Middle East conflicts ka short-term impact ho sakta hai, par unka long-term outlook strong hai unke robust backlog aur strategic plans ki wajah se. Zen Tech bhi apne strong order book aur new product launches se growth predict kar raha hai.
Financial services companies jaise Cholamandalam Investment, CSB Bank, aur MAS Financial bhi stable dikh rahi hain. Loan quality improve hone aur favourable economic trends ka unhe fayda mil raha hai. Kuch firms jaise CAMS aur Kotak Mahindra Bank, market dips aur regulatory adjustments ke baad ab reasonable valuations par mil rahe hain. Haalanki, D-Mart ke liye sawaal hai ki kya current stock price uske growth potential ko poora reflect karta hai.