Whalesbook
Dekho, ye jo baar-baar daam badh rahe hain na, isse sabse zyada public ko dikkat ho rahi hai. Delhi mein Petrol ab ₹98.64 ho gaya hai, aur Mumbai mein toh ₹107.59 tak pahunch gaya hai. Diesel bhi peeche nahi hai, Delhi mein ₹91.58 aur Mumbai mein ₹94.08 ho gaya hai. Kolkata aur Chennai mein bhi rates aise hi badhe hain.
Ab sawaal ye hai ki ye daam badh kyun rahe hain? Main reason hai international market mein crude oil ka price badhna. West Asia mein jo tensions chal rahi hain, usse Brent crude $100 se $112 ke aas-paas chal raha hai. Up north, apna rupee bhi dollar ke saamne kamzor ho raha hai, lagbhag ₹95.77 se ₹96.19 chal raha hai, jisse hamare liye oil import karna aur mehnga ho gaya hai. Iske alawa, India mein taxes ka bhi bada role hai, jo lagbhag 50-55% retail price banate hain. Government ne recently petrol exports par bhi ₹3 per litre ka Special Additional Excise Duty (SAED) lagaya hai, lekin ye domestic prices ko affect nahi karega.
Is fuel price hike ka sabse bada impact inflation par padega. RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra ne bhi warn kiya hai ki agar ye tensions chalti rahi, toh public ko aur bhi zyada daam dena pad sakta hai. Unka kehna hai ki agar supply mein badi gadbadi hui toh RBI intervene karega. Wholesale inflation toh already 8.3% tak pahunch gayi hai, jo ki 3.5 saal ka high hai, aur consumer prices bhi badh rahi hain. Isse logon ki kharidari power kam ho jayegi, log kharch karne se pehle do baar sochenge, aur ho sakta hai ki GDP growth bhi thodi slow ho jaye.
Aage kya ho sakta hai? Experts ka kehna hai ki West Asia ki situation ko dekhte hue, crude oil prices abhi bhi fluctuate ho sakte hain, shayad $100 se $125 ke beech mein. Iska matlab hai ki India mein inflation aur public ke budget par pressure bana rahega. RBI bhi situation ko closely monitor karega. Government ko bhi tax revenue aur public ki pareshani ke beech balance banana hoga.