India ne GDP ka base year update karke **2022-23** kar diya hai. Isse ye pata chala hai ki hamara agriculture sector pehle se bada hai, lekin **2023-24** ki growth purane estimates se thodi kam hai.
GDP ka naya calculation kya bolta hai?
Government ne official taur par GDP ka base year 2011-12 se badal kar 2022-23 kar diya hai. Is change ka maqsad aaj ke consumption patterns aur informal sector ko behtar tarike se track karna hai. Lekin isse economy ki tasveer thodi badal gayi hai.
Agriculture ka badhta weight
Sabse bada surprise ye hai ki ab economy mein agriculture ka contribution lagbhag 20% hai, jo purane 15% ke estimate se kaafi zyada hai. Iska matlab saaf hai—log kheti chhod kar factory aur services ki taraf jitni tez ummeed thi, utni tezi se nahi badh rahe. Manufacturing sector ka size bhi ummeed se kam nikla hai.
Growth story mein thoda 'slack'
2023-24 ke liye jo growth 9% se upar dikh rahi thi, woh ab lagbhag 2% kam ho gayi hai. Iska matlab hai ki economy mein 'slack' (spare capacity) zyada tha. Iska impact corporate demand aur market ke sentiment par padna tay hai.
Investors ke liye kya signal hai?
Jab itne bade numbers revise hote hain, toh uncertainty badh jati hai. Pandemic ke baad ki recovery utni fast nahi thi jitna pehle bataya gaya tha. Ab sabki nazar upcoming 'back series' data par hai ki ye sirf statistical change hai ya economy ka structural reality. Policy makers ab is naye data ke hisaab se apne monetary decisions lenge, toh thoda cautious rehna hi behtar hai.