Whalesbook
So, Good Friday ki chhutti se pehle, market mein kaafi dhamal hua. Din bhar utaar-chadhav raha, lekin end mein Nifty 50 ne achhi recovery dikhayi. Tech stocks aur Indian Rupee ne toh kamaal kar diya, jisse Index upar gaya. Lekin scene yeh hai ki ye rally sirf kuch sectors tak seemit thi, baaki market mein alag kahani thi.
Ab baat karte hain IT stocks ki, jo sabse chamke 2.6% Nifty IT index ke saath. HCL Technologies, Tech Mahindra jaise naam top gainers mein the. HCL Tech toh January 2022 se January 2026 tak 28.86% ka return de chuka hai, TCS, Infosys ko bhi piche chhodte hue. Ye sab AI aur digital transformation projects ki wajah se ho raha hai, jisse industry ka revenue FY26 tak $315 billion ho jayega.
Aur toh aur, Indian Rupee ne bhi record bana diya! 12 saal mein sabse badi single-day badhotri, 173 paise badhkar ₹93.10 ho gaya US Dollar ke muqable. Ye sab RBI ne khud intervention karke kiya taaki currency mein speculation aur volatility control ho. RBI ne kuch rules bhi lagaye hain jaise net open positions par cap lagana. Experts bol rahe hain ki short-term mein Rupee aur strong ho sakta hai.
Par yahan ek bada TWIST hai! Ye sab hone ke bawajood, asli market mein log invest karne se darr rahe the. Nifty Midcap 0.3% aur Smallcap 0.4% neeche band hue. Yaani, rally mein sablog nahi the, sirf kuch bade players hi shamil the. Nifty 50 ne lagatar 6 hafte se loss dikhaya hai, jo COVID time ke baad pehli baar hua hai. Underlying issues abhi bhi hain, jaise Foreign investors sell kar rahe hain, crude oil $106 ke aas-paas hai, aur duniya mein bhi tension hai. IT sector mein bhi high valuations ka issue hai - Nifty 50 ka P/E ratio 19.96 hai, BSE Sensex ka 20.2, aur Nifty Midcap 100 ka toh 33.18 hai, matlab kuch stocks mehange hain.
Toh ab jab markets April 6th ko wapas khulegi, sabki nazar RBI ke forex rules, crude oil prices, FIIs ke sentiment, aur IT sector ke performance par rahegi. Dekhte hain aage kya hota hai!