Whalesbook
IMF ka warning: US Debt aur Treasuries ka kya scene hai?
International Monetary Fund (IMF) ne apni latest reports mein global economy ko lekar kuch serious concerns uthaye hain. Main reason hai badhta hua debt aur geopolitical tensions. Sabse badi baat yeh hai ki America ka jo public debt hai na, woh 126% of GDP tak pahunch sakta hai 2026 tak! Iske saath hi, har saal interest mein lagbhag $1 Trillion kharch ho sakte hain.
Is wajah se, US Treasuries, jinko hamesha ek safe investment maana jaata tha, ab kam pasandida ho rahe hain. Iska matlab hai ki America ko khud udhaar lene ke liye zyada interest dena pad sakta hai, aur yeh effect duniya bhar mein dikhega, jisse sabhi ke liye borrowing costs badh jayenge. Pehle jahan foreign central banks zyada kharidte the, ab private foreign entities aur short-term debt pe zyada focus hai. Experts soch rahe hain ki itne debt ke saath future kaise manage hoga.
India: Global slowdown mein bhi Growth ka engine
Is global uncertainty ke beech, India ki economy ek chamakdaar sitare ki tarah ubhar rahi hai. IMF ne forecast kiya hai ki India ki GDP 6.5% se grow karegi 2026-27 aur 2027-28 mein. India sabse tez grow karne wali major economy banne wali hai! Iska credit jaata hai strong domestic demand, government ke investment, aur reforms ko. Global challenges ke bawajood, India ke economic fundamentals solid lag rahe hain, jo foreign investors ke liye ek achha option hai.
Global Growth aur IMF ki advice
IMF ne World Economic Outlook mein prediction di hai ki global growth 2026 mein 3.1% rah sakti hai, jo pehle se kam hai. Iska reason geopolitical conflicts hain jo commodity prices aur inflation ko affect kar rahe hain. IMF ne yeh bhi kaha hai ki government ko fiscal stimulus (economy boost karne ke liye spending) use karne mein caution rakhni chahiye aur inflation control pe zyada focus karna chahiye. Duniya ke kai deshon ke paas itni capacity nahi hai ki woh economic shocks ko handle kar sakein bina apna debt aur badhaye.