Whalesbook
Institutions ka paisa, Bitcoin ka bhagda!
Toh hua yun ki Bitcoin ka price seedha $79,000 ke level ko bhi paar kar gaya hai. Aur iske peeche ka sabse bada reason hai institutions ka paisa! Pichle 9 dinon se lagaataar $2.12 billion (around ₹17,500 Crore) ka inflow dekhne ko mila hai. Isse lag raha hai ki bade investors ka confidence phir se badh raha hai aur duniya mein jo tension thi, woh bhi thodi kam hui hai.
Agar yeh trend chalta raha, toh analysts keh rahe hain ki April Bitcoin ke liye 2020 ke baad sabse zabardast mahina ho sakta hai. Abhi, Bitcoin $79,003 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur pichle 24 ghante mein 1.61% bada hai. Iski market cap lagbhag $1.58 trillion hai, aur daily trading volume $24.7 billion hai. Yeh demand, khaas kar weekly ETF inflows, supply ko kam kar rahi hai aur price ko support de rahi hai.
Stocks ke saath rishta, Aur alts ka kya?
Lekin sab kuch itna bhi smooth nahi hai. Bitcoin ka game ab thoda traditional stocks jaisa ho gaya hai. S&P 500 aur Nasdaq jaise bade stock market indices ke saath iska correlation 0.96 tak pahunch gaya hai, matlab yeh bhi ab unke tarah hi economic factors se affect ho raha hai. Iska matlab hai ki Federal Reserve (Fed) kya bolta hai, inflation kitni hai, yeh sab Bitcoin ke liye important ho gaya hai.
Baaki alts coins ki baat karein toh Ethereum 3.04% badhkar $2,388.39 par hai, par Solana thoda gira hai. Yeh mixed performance dikha rahi hai ki paisa abhi sabhi coins mein nahi jaa raha, bas zyada liquid assets mein ruk raha hai. Ye ek cautious recovery lag rahi hai, na ki full-blown excitement.
Macro risks aur aage kya?
Abhi jo sabse badi chinta hai, woh hai macro factors. Stock market mein agar girawat aayi, toh Bitcoin bhi gir sakta hai. Duniya mein tensions, khaas kar Middle East ko lekar, abhi bhi bani hui hain, jo oil prices ko affect kar sakti hain aur investors ka risk lene ka mann kam kar sakti hain.
Aur haan, Fed ke comments aur US inflation data jaise bade events aane wale hain. Agar Fed ne thoda strict stance liya ya inflation umeed se zyada aayi, toh market mein short-term mein girawat aa sakti hai. Abhi bhi log thode dar mein hain, Fear & Greed Index 33 ('Fear') par hai, jo dikhata hai ki optimism abhi bhi prices ke hisaab se kam hai.
Technical chart par dekhein toh Bitcoin $75,000 se $77,000 ke support level ke paas hai. Agar $80,000 ke upar clear break karta hai, toh aur tezi dikh sakti hai. Lekin neeche gira toh fast fall bhi ho sakta hai.
Analysts keh rahe hain ki yeh market abhi thoda settle ho raha hai, ek mid-cycle consolidation jaisa. Sabhi yahi advise kar rahe hain ki patience rakho aur support levels par entry lo, na ki jaldi mein price chase karo. Yeh ETF inflows ek baseline demand toh de rahe hain, par economic news ka impact bahut zyada hoga. FOMC meeting results aur US inflation data se hi pata chalega ki Bitcoin $80,000 ke paar jaa paayega ya nahi.