Whalesbook
Spot silver prices mein aaj 1% se zyada ka rise dekha gaya, jo $74.41 per ounce ke aas paas pahunch gaya. Kal yeh 4% se zyada gira tha. India mein bhi, silver futures mein 0.1% ka halka gain dikha, Rs 2,70,407 per kg par band hua. Market abhi bhi thoda cautious hai.
Giravat jaari hai, rebound ke baad bhi
Is chhoti si recovery ke bawajood, silver prices ne lagatar pressure jhela hai. Weekly basis par 15% se zyada aur monthly basis par 7% se zyada ki girawat hui hai. Pichhle teen mahine mein toh 12.5% tak neeche gira hai, jo market mein chal rahi uthal-puthal dikhata hai.
Dollar ka zor aur geopolitical tensions
Strong U.S. dollar precious metals par pressure bana raha hai. Jab dollar strong hota hai, toh dollar ke alawa dusri countries ke buyers ke liye silver mehenga ho jata hai, jis se demand kam ho sakti hai. Middle East mein geopolitical events aur Iran se related tensions ne bhi global markets mein uncertainty badha di hai, jis ka asar commodities par pad raha hai.
Crude Oil se inflation ki chinta badhi
Crude oil prices bhi badh rahi hain, WTI $104 a barrel ke paas aur Brent futures $111 ke upar chal rahe hain. Is se global inflation aur badh raha hai. Jab inflation high hota hai, toh yeh kam chances hain ki U.S. Federal Reserve jaldi interest rates kam karegi. Iska matlab hai ki rates abhi lambe time tak high rah sakte hain. High interest rates waale environment mein silver jaisi non-yielding assets par pressure aata hai.
Federal Reserve ki expectations mein badlav
Market experts ab U.S. monetary policy ko lekar apni soch badal rahe hain. Traders ko lagta hai ki 2026 tak interest rates kam hone ke chances kam hain, aur ho sakta hai ki is saal ke baad mein rates pause rahein ya badh jayein. High interest rates generally dollar ko strong karte hain aur un assets ko hold karne ka cost badha dete hain jin par koi interest nahi milta, jis se silver prices par aur pressure aata hai.
Silver Market ka outlook
Silver prices ki current direction kai factors par depend karti hai: strong U.S. dollar, higher interest rates ki expectations, geopolitical tensions, crude oil prices ka badhna, aur market mein chal rahi volatility. Halanki short-term mein investors dip par kharidari kar sakte hain, lekin long-term outlook economic aur geopolitical developments par nirbhar karega.