Market mein Achanak Giraawat!
Bhaiyo, aaj precious metals mein ekdum se bhukamp aa gaya hai! Jo log Gold aur Silver mein paisa laga kar bethe the, unka toh aaj market ne test le liya. Benchmark Silver contracts MCX par ₹4.2 lakh per kilogram ke peak se seedha ₹3.32 lakh par aa gire, matlab 21% ka bada loss aur ₹88,000 per kg ki giraawat ek hi session mein! International market mein bhi Comex Silver $121.79 se $95.12 dollar tak gir gaya.
Gold bhi peeche nahi raha. MCX par February ka contract apne Thursday ke high se 14.7% neeche gir kar ₹1.54 lakh per 10 grams par pahunch gaya, matlab ₹26,622 ka nuksan ek hi din mein. Comex par bhi Gold $5,586.20 se $4,950 dollar tak retreat kar gaya.
Achanak Yeh Sab Kyu Hua? Experts Kya Kehte Hain?
Experts ka kehna hai ki yeh sab profit booking ka kamaal hai. Jab rates bahut tezi se badh jaate hain, toh log profits book karna shuru kar dete hain. Ajay Kedia, jo Kedia Advisory ke director hain, unhone kaha ki market mein prices bahut jaldi mein upar gaye the. Unka maan na hai ki Silver $78 aur Gold $4,860 dollar tak bhi ja sakta hai.
Vandana Bharti, jo SMC Global Securities mein research head hain, unka bhi kehna hai ki abhi short term mein prices aur gir sakte hain. Woh Silver ko ₹3.20 lakh per kg aur Gold ko ₹1.42 lakh per 10 grams tak dekh rahi hain.
History Bhi Yahi Kehti Hai!
Yeh koi pehli baar nahi ho raha. Silver toh apne high volatility ke liye jaana jaata hai. Jaise 1980s mein Hunt Brothers ne jab silver mein speculative buying ki thi, toh uske baad price 90% tak gir gaya tha. Aise hi 2008-2011 ke cycle mein bhi Silver 60% se zyada gira tha jabki Gold sirf 38% gira tha.
Gold vs Silver - Aage Ka Outlook
Gold aur Silver ka ratio bhi ab 45 par aa gaya hai, jo pichhle saal 107 tha. Analysts expect karte hain ki yeh ratio wapas 70-72 ke aas paas jayega, jiska matlab hai ki aane wale time mein Gold, Silver se behtar perform kar sakta hai. Long term mein Gold ke liye toh sab theek hi lag raha hai, kyunki central banks buy kar rahe hain, global tensions hain, aur currency mein bhi utar-chadhav hai.
Ab Investors Kya Karein?
Jab market mein itna volatility ho, khaas kar Silver mein, toh experts advise kar rahe hain ki thoda risk kam karein. Jin investors ne Silver mein paisa lagaya hai, unhe apna portfolio Gold ki taraf shift karne ke bare mein sochna chahiye. Yeh sab geopolitics, USD ka strong hona, aur market mein badhti hui margin requirements ke karan bhi ho raha hai.