Oil Ka Dhamaka, Gold Ka Dhamka: Hormuz Blockade Ne Oil Ko Bhagaaya, Dollar Ne Gold Ko Giraya!

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AuthorKavya Nair|Published at:
Oil Ka Dhamaka, Gold Ka Dhamka: Hormuz Blockade Ne Oil Ko Bhagaaya, Dollar Ne Gold Ko Giraya!
Overview

Yaar, aaj commodity markets mein ekdum ulta scene chal raha hai. Ek taraf, Strait of Hormuz mein tensions ke kaaran oil ke bhav seedha upar bhag gaye hain. Wahi doosri taraf, U.S. dollar ke strong hone aur inflation ki chintaon se gold thoda neeche gir gaya hai.

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Oil Mein Toofani Tezi Kyun?

Basically, Strait of Hormuz mein jo U.S. aur Iran ke beech takraar chal rahi hai, usne oil supply mein gadbad kar di hai. Ye chokepoint duniya ka 20% oil aur LNG transport karta hai, aur ab wahan traffic lagbhag band ho gaya hai. Reports ke mutabik, Brent crude futures $107.49 tak pahunch gaye aur West Texas Intermediate (WTI) $96.17 par trade ho raha hai. Ye toh is week ki 17% (Brent) aur 13% (WTI) ki rally ka hissa hai!

IEA ne isko 'sabse bada energy supply shock' bataya hai. Goldman Sachs ne toh Q4 2026 ke liye Brent ka target badha kar $90 aur WTI ka $83 kar diya hai. Kuch analysts toh keh rahe hain ki agar ye problem chali, toh Brent $150 tak bhi ja sakta hai.

Gold Ki Giraawat Ka Reason Kya Hai?

Ab baat karte hain gold ki. Spot gold prices 0.3% gir kar lagbhag $4,694 per ounce par aa gaye hain. Ye wahi gold hai jo January mein $5,600 ka all-time high bana kar aaya tha.

Is ghiravat ka main reason hai strong U.S. dollar. Jaise hi peace deal ki umeed kam hui, dollar tez ho gaya. Aur jab dollar tez hota hai, toh gold jaise non-yielding assets par pressure aata hai. Plus, badhti hui oil prices se inflation ki chinta hai, jisse lagta hai ki central banks interest rates ko zyada time tak high rakhengi ya aur badha dengi. Ye sab factors gold ke liye bearish hain.

Waise, J.P. Morgan aur Wells Fargo jaise bade players abhi bhi 2026 ke end tak gold ko $5,400 se $6,300 ke beech dekh rahe hain, matlab unke hisab se ye temporary correction hai.

Short mein, oil physical supply shock se react kar raha hai, jabki gold financial factors jaise dollar aur interest rates se zyada affected hai.

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Disclaimer:This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or trading advice, nor a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Readers should consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions, as markets involve risk and past performance does not guarantee future results. The publisher and authors accept no liability for any losses. Some content may be AI-generated and may contain errors; accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Views expressed do not reflect the publication’s editorial stance.