JSW Steel & Tata Steel: Geopolitics ka fayda uthao, Jefferies ne kaha 'Buy'!

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AuthorAnanya Iyer|Published at:
JSW Steel & Tata Steel: Geopolitics ka fayda uthao, Jefferies ne kaha 'Buy'!
Overview

Brokers ne stock market mein ekdum se gire hue JSW Steel aur Tata Steel ke shares ko kharidne ka mauka bataya hai. Ye sab West Asia mein badhti tensions ki wajah se hua, jahan stocks **9-10%** gir gaye, jabki India mein steel prices **6%** badh gayi hain.

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Bhaiyo aur Behno, market mein aajkal thodi gadbad chal rahi hai West Asia mein tensions ki wajah se. Is chakkr mein JSW Steel aur Tata Steel ke shares bhi lagbhag 9-10% gir gaye. Lekin brokerage firm Jefferies ne kaha hai ki ye shares kharidne ka mast mauka hai! Kyun? Kyunki ek taraf jahan stocks gire, wahi dusri taraf India mein steel prices 6% badh gayi hain. Jefferies ka prediction hai ki FY27 tak company ke EBITDA mein 30-45% tak ka zabardast jump aa sakta hai.

Market abhi geopolitical risk dekh raha hai, asli fundamentals nahi. Lekin broker ke hisaab se, stock price volume se zyada price changes se affect hoti hai. Matlab agar tensions kam hui, toh earnings aur stock prices fatfat badh jayengi!

India mein prices badhi, China mein supply kam!

Jefferies ke positive hone ke peeche teen bade reasons hain:

  1. China ka Kamaal: Duniya ke sabse bade steel producer China mein steel production 9% kam ho gaya hai aur exports 6% tak gir gaye hain. Isse global prices control mein aa sakti hain.
  2. Spreads Recovery: Asian steel spreads 15-year lows se recover kar rahe hain, abhi 9% zyada hain average se. Ye producers ke liye achha sign hai.
  3. Domestic Price Hike: India mein steel prices aur badh sakti hain. Jefferies ko lagta hai ki agar sab theek raha toh prices ₹64,900 per tonne tak pahunch sakti hain, jo current ₹57,500 se kaafi zyada hai. Infrastructure aur manufacturing ki demand bhi badh rahi hai.

Toh kya sab kuch perfect hai?

Nahi bhai, thoda risk toh hai. Agar West Asia conflict lamba chala, toh India ki demand par asar pad sakta hai. Waise bhi JSW Steel ka P/E ratio 33.55-47.6 aur Tata Steel ka 26.51-28.1 hai, jo thode high lag sakte hain agar situation kharab hui. Waise Tata Steel ka debt-to-equity ratio 0.4x hai, jo JSW Steel ke 0.9x se behtar hai.

Lekin analyst toh positive hain. Lagbhag 23 out of 35 analysts Tata Steel ko 'Buy' keh rahe hain. JSW Steel ke liye bhi consensus 'Moderate Buy' ka hai, aur target price ₹1,255 hai, matlab abhi se 9.96% aur upar jaane ka potential hai. CLSA ne bhi pichhle mahine targets badhaye the.

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Disclaimer:This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or trading advice, nor a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Readers should consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions, as markets involve risk and past performance does not guarantee future results. The publisher and authors accept no liability for any losses. Some content may be AI-generated and may contain errors; accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Views expressed do not reflect the publication’s editorial stance.