India ka Arabica coffee harvest season mushkil mein hai. Kharab monsoon aur pest attack ki wajah se production **10% se 20%** tak gir sakta hai, jo pehle ke estimates se kaafi alag hai.
Coffee planters ki tension badhi
Is baar Arabica coffee ka season ummeed se kaafi weak rehne wala hai. Western Ghats mein erratic rainfall aur 'White Stem Borer' naam ke pests ne plantations ki halat kharab kar di hai. Coffee Board ke purane estimates ab fail hote dikh rahe hain kyunki ground reality mein 10% se 20% tak production kam hone ke asaar hain.
Kyun ho raha hai ye sab?
Main problem 'White Stem Borer' pest hai jo dry monsoon aur garmi mein tezi se failta hai. Ye pest plants ki structure ko andar se tod raha hai, jisse bushes tak khatam ho rahi hain. Karnataka, jo ki Arabica ka main hub hai, wahan ke farmers ke liye ye ek bada jhatka hai. United Planters' Association of South India aur Karnataka Planters Association ne clear warning di hai ki ye climate change ek permanent trend banta ja raha hai.
Growers ka financial pain
Ek taraf kam production aur doosri taraf badhti hui input costs aur labor ki kami, farmers ki profitability par seedha asar daal rahi hai. Ab kaafi planters 'Arabica' chhod kar 'Robusta' ki taraf shift karne ki soch rahe hain kyunki woh climatic changes ko behtar jhel sakta hai.
Market par kya effect hoga?
Agla ek mahina market ke liye bohot crucial hai. November tak aane wale harvest figures se confirm hoga ki supply kitni tight hai. Agar production mein 20% ki kami aayi, toh iska direct asar global coffee prices aur supply chain par padega. Investors ke liye ye figures track karna abhi sabse zyada zaroori hai.