India mein silver sabse strong kyun?
Dekho, India mein silver ka rate ₹228 per gram aur ₹227,540 per kilogram par bana raha, par bahar toh scene alag tha. Pichele hafte global silver market mein 15% se bhi zyada ki girawat dekhi gayi, aur price $66 an ounce tak aa gaya tha. Iska bada reason hai Middle East mein badhti hui tensions, especially Iran ke involvement se. Isse oil prices bhi badh rahe hain aur log inflation ko lekar pareshan hain, jisse central banks interest rates kam karne ki bajaye badha sakte hain.
Indian Rupee ka support
India mein yeh stability maintain karne mein hamara apna Rupee bhi kaam kar raha hai. March 23, 2026 ko USD/INR 93.9480 par tha, jo pichhle saal mein 9.86% depreciation dikha raha hai. Jab dollar strong hota hai, toh dollar mein traded cheezein jaise silver, India mein mehengi ho jati hain, ek tarah ka natural support milta hai. Aur haan, Brent crude oil bhi $113 per barrel ke aas paas chal raha hai, jo Middle East ki tension aur global inflation ko dikha raha hai.
Gold aur ETFs ka scene
Gold bhi pressure mein hai, COMEX gold 3.4% gir kar $4,418 per ounce par hai. Silver ke industrial uses bhi hain, toh agar economy slow down hui toh isse bhi farak pad sakta hai. India mein silver ETFs ka performance bhi mix hai. March 5 tak kuch funds positive bhi the, but March 23 ko Kotak Silver ETF 20% aur Axis Silver ETF 11% tak gir gaye.
Analysts ka kya kehna hai?
Sabse important baat yeh hai ki Jigar Trivedi, jo IndusInd Securities mein Senior Research Analyst hain, unhone warn kiya hai ki MCX Silver May futures ₹215,000 per kilogram tak gir sakte hain. Unka kehna hai ki India mein jo yeh stability dikh rahi hai, woh zyada tikne wali nahi hai. Global market ke pressures finally yahan bhi impact karenge hi.
Aage kya hoga?
So, aage volatility toh pakki hai. Analysts ka manna hai ki MCX Silver May futures ₹215,000 per kilogram tak ja sakte hain. Agar inflation control mein nahi aaya toh US Federal Reserve jaise banks interest rate cuts ko delay kar sakte hain. Oil prices aur Middle East ke halaat market ko move karte rahenge.