Whalesbook
Gold Prices Ease Amid Shifting Global Influences
Aaj, May 21, 2026, India mein Sone ki prices mein thodi kami aayi hai. 24-carat gold ₹400 kam hokar ₹1,60,070 ho gaya per 10 grams, aur 22-carat gold bhi ₹366.70 gir kar ₹1,46,731 ho gaya per 10 grams. Yeh tab hua jab US aur Iran ke beech peace talks ki khabar se inflation ka dar thoda kam hua tha. Lekin phir se tension badh gaya jab Federal Reserve ki latest meeting ke minutes mein kaha gaya ki agar inflation control mein nahi aaya toh interest rates aur badha sakte hain.
Gold Dubai Se Ab Bhi Mehnga
Yeh bhi dekho, India mein gold prices thoda kam hone ke baad bhi Dubai se zyada mehnga hai. May 21, 2026 ko Dubai mein 10 gram 24-carat gold AED 5,475.00 tha, jo India ke hisab se lagbhag ₹1,42,760 hota hai. Matlab, India mein gold ab bhi lagbhag 11.6% premium par mil raha hai.
Market Mein Conflicting Signals
Market ki reaction mein aaj do alag-alag factors dikh rahe the. US-Iran peace deal se thoda positive sign mila tha, kyunki oil prices aur inflation ko lekar chinta kam hui thi. President Trump ne bhi kaha tha ki negotiations 'final stages' mein hain. Par, Federal Reserve ke minutes ne bata diya ki kai policymakers ko lagta hai ki agar inflation 2% target se upar raha toh 'policy firming' (yani rate hike) karna padega. Iska matlab Fed abhi bhi strict approach rakhega, jisse gold jaise non-yielding assets kam attractive ho jaate hain aur un par pressure aata hai.
Analysts Kya Keh Rahe Hain?
Market experts ka kehna hai ki gold prices ek range mein hi trade karenge, jisme $4,645 par resistance aur $4,456 par support hai. Generally, jab Federal Reserve rates badhata hai toh gold prices complex rehte hain. High rates se interest-bearing investments zyada attractive hote hain, par kabhi-kabhi gold tab bhi naye highs bana leta hai, especially agar inflation ka problem bana rahe. Aajkal ke halaat mein, jab inflation ka dar hai aur Fed tightening kar sakta hai, toh gold investors ke liye outlook tough hai, bhale hi geopolitics mein kuch positive ho. CME Group ke FedWatch tool ke hisab se, December mein 25 basis-point rate hike ki 39% probability hai, jisse lagta hai market aur tightening expect kar raha hai.