Whalesbook
20th May ko Market ka Haal
Pichle kuch dino se Sona aur Chandi mein giravat dikh rahi hai. Iska sabse bada karan hai Middle East mein badhti hui geopolitical tensions aur US Dollar ka mazboot hona.
Halanki Gold Futures mein thoda upar khulne ki koshish hui, lekin spot prices gir gayeen. Iran mein chal rahe maamle aur badhte crude oil prices ne uncertainty badha di thi, lekin Dollar ke strength ne precious metals ko zyada badhne nahi diya.
Spot Gold 0.71% gir kar $4,479.10 per ounce par aa gaya, aur July Silver Futures bhi 0.11% gir kar Rs 2,70,407 per kilogram par pahunch gaye.
Market ab US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ka intezar kar rahi hai, jisse Dollar ki direction aur future interest rate hikes ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai.
Support aur Challenges
Ek khabar aayi thi ki US ne Iran par turant attack ka plan postpone kar diya hai, jisne thodi der ke liye Gold ko support diya tha. Lekin, agar deal nahi hui toh bade strikes ki dhamkiyon ne global market mein uncertainty bana rakhi hai.
Near term mein Gold Rs 1,58,000 se Rs 1,62,000 ke beech trade hone ki ummeed hai. Gold ko $4,500 ke aas paas support mila hai aur Silver ko $75 ke aas paas, lekin dono hi pichli session ki gains kho rahe hain.
Middle East tensions aur lagatar badhti inflation ki wajah se market ka sentiment kamzor ho gaya hai. Jabse conflict shuru hua hai, Gold par selling pressure hai, kyunki badhte oil prices inflation ko aur badha rahe hain, jo interest rate hikes ko support karta hai.
Sona Aur Chandi Kyun Gir Rahe Hain?
Bade geopolitical stress ke time mein Gold aur Silver ko safe haven mana jata hai, lekin abhi market mein bearish outlook dikh raha hai.
US Dollar ki lagatar mazbooti ki wajah se, dollar-denominated commodities jaise Gold aur Silver international buyers ke liye kam attractive ho gaye hain.
Iske alawa, lagatar interest rate hikes ki sambhavna, jo stubborn inflation aur Iran conflict se jude high energy prices ki wajah se hai, ek double challenge create kar rahi hai. Aise environment mein un assets ko hold karna mushkil ho jata hai jo interest nahi dete.
Market ki reaction se lagta hai ki tensions ka jaldi khatm hona mushkil hai, aur inflation aur interest rate ki concerns ab zyada important ho gayee hain.
Aage Kya?
Market participants US economic data, khaas kar PMI figures par nazar rakhe hue hain, yeh samajhne ke liye ki Federal Reserve kya monetary policy le sakta hai.
Agar economic strength dikhti hai toh Dollar aur mazboot ho sakta hai aur Gold-Silver prices par pressure bana rahega. Iske vipreet, agar slowdown ke signs milte hain toh inflation aur currency devaluation ke khilaaf hedge ke taur par Gold aur Silver mein interest badh sakta hai.