Whalesbook
Toh bhaiyo, aaj gold aur silver market mein ekdum shaanti dikh rahi hai. Prices zyada move nahi kar rahe kyunki dollar thoda weak hua hai aur crude oil bhi 2% se zyada gira hai. Oil prices kam hone se log thoda relieved hain ki energy costs se inflation nahi badhega.
Par yeh shaanti andar se tension wali hai. US mein inflation abhi bhi nahi ruk raha hai. April mein CPI 3.8% badha hai year-on-year aur core CPI bhi 2.8% upar gaya hai. Is wajah se Fed (Federal Reserve) ko lag raha hai ki interest rates ko abhi aur zyada time tak high rakhna padega, aur 2026 mein rate cuts ki ummeed bhi bahut kam ho gayi hai.
Aur silver ke liye toh India se ek badi news hai. Government ne import par 15% ka duty laga diya hai aur jo bars 99% tak pure hain, unhe 'restricted' category mein daal diya hai. Isse India mein silver ki supply kam ho jayegi, jisse local prices badh sakte hain.
Abhi yeh bhi khabar hai ki Kevin Warsh Fed ke naye chair ban sakte hain, jo ki monetary hawk maane jaate hain. Matlab woh inflation control karne par zyada focus karenge, ho sakta hai rates aur high karein. Pehle bhi jab aise hawkish naam aaye hain toh gold-silver girte hain. Yaad hai January 2026 mein kya hua tha? Gold-silver mein badi girawat aayi thi.
Is sabke beech, analyst log gold ke liye $4,900 se $6,000 tak target de rahe hain, kuch log toh $17,250 bhi bol rahe hain. Silver ke liye $85 se $110 tak ka range hai. Lekin yeh sab depend karega Fed ki policy aur inflation data par.