Indian market ke liye October ka mahina tough raha hai, par November se umeed badh rahi hai. Nifty 50 is saal **13%** gir chuka hai, lekin FIIs ne apni aggressive bearish bets kam kar di hain. Ab dikkat sirf crude oil ke prices aur inflation se hai.
October ke dard bhare mahine ke baad, ab sabki nazrein November par hain. Nifty 50 mein is saal ab tak 13% ki girawat dekhne ko mili hai, jisse market ab 'oversold' territory mein aa gaya hai. Simple bhasha mein kahein toh, market kaafi tezi se gira hai aur yahan se thoda bounce-back ya pause milna natural hai.
FIIs ka game badal raha hai?
Derivatives data mein ek bada shift dikh raha hai. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs), jo pehle market ko lekar kaafi negative the, unhone apne short positions kam kar diye hain. Pehle jahan short contracts 267,000 the, wo ab ghat kar 221,000 par aa gaye hain. Iska matlab ye nahi ki market seedha bull run mein aa gaya, balki selling ka pressure thoda kam zaroor hua hai.
Crude Oil ka tension
Macro front par crude oil prices abhi bhi headache bane hue hain. India duniya ka third-largest oil importer hai, aur agar oil mehnga rehta hai toh companies ke margins par dabav banta hai. Fuel aur transport cost badhne se profit kam ho jata hai, jo share price ko neeche khinchta hai.
Sectoral Trend
Market mein ab safai dikh rahi hai. IT stocks ne October mein kamaal kiya hai aur 16.3% ka gain dikhaya hai. Wahi dusri taraf, Metals, Auto aur FMCG sectors mein abhi bhi log thoda sambhal kar kaam kar rahe hain aur unhein defensive play ki tarah use kar rahe hain.
Agla Support Level kya hai?
Traders ko 23,480 se 23,500 ka level monitor karna chahiye. Agar index iske upar nikalta hai, toh trend badalne ki ummeed hai. Tab tak wait and watch ka mode rakhein aur crude oil ya global cues par nazar rakhein.