Global market mein kya chal raha hai?
Dekho, poori duniya mein ekdum tension wala mahaul hai. Ek taraf toh Middle East se news aa rahi hain jisse Brent crude oil $115 per barrel cross kar gaya hai. Isse inflation badhne ka dar hai aur India ka current account deficit bhi affect ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US Federal Reserve ne do baar se interest rates ko 3.50%-3.75% par hold karke rakha hai. Ab market ko lag raha hai ki 2026 tak shayad sirf ek hi rate cut hoga, jo pehle ki expectations se kaafi alag hai. Is sabka asar Indian indices par bhi hai; Nifty aur Bank Nifty dono mein hi neeche ki taraf ka trend (bearish trend) dikh raha hai, support 23,000-22,950 ke aas-paas hai aur resistance 24,300 ke neeche.
Toh Bajaj Broking ne kaunse stocks pakde?
Iss sab global headwinds ke bawajood, Bajaj Broking Research ne do stocks mein potential dekha hai:
Belrise Industries: Yeh company automotive components banati hai. Inka recommendation hai ₹176.00-₹180.00 ke beech buy karne ka, jiska target ₹204 diya hai. Stock ₹177.27 ke aas-paas trade ho raha tha. Iska P/E ratio lagbhag 34.3 hai, jo sector ke average 41.32 se kam hai, matlab valuation attractive lag raha hai. Company ki market cap ₹15,775 crore ke aas-paas hai. Ek baat note karne wali hai ki promoter holding pichhle quarter mein 6.55% kam hui hai.
Jayaswal Neco Industries: Yeh steel sector ki company hai. Inka advice hai ₹69-₹71 ki range mein buy karne ka, target ₹81 ka hai. Matlab, 3 mahine mein 15% tak ka return mil sakta hai. Stock ₹70.15 par trade kar raha tha. Market cap ₹7,000 crore ke kareeb hai. Iska P/E ratio 18.22 hai, jo industry average 23.36 se kam hai, matlab valuation theek lag raha hai. Haan, iska Return on Equity (ROE) 4.86% ke aas-paas hai, jo thoda kam hai agar JSW Steel aur Tata Steel jaise players ke muqable dekhein.
Kya risks ho sakte hain?
Sabse bada risk toh wohi hai – oil prices aur badh sakti hain, jisse inflation aur RBI ke decisions par pressure aa sakta hai. Middle East mein koi bhi badi ghatna trade routes ko disturb kar sakti hai. Belrise Industries mein promoter holding kam hona ek concern hai, aur Jayaswal Neco Industries ka ROE bhi manage karna hoga. Aur agar Nifty ya Bank Nifty mein badi girawat aayi toh yeh stocks bhi affect ho sakte hain.