Anand Rathi Wealth Share: Revenue **30%** Bhaga Par Costs Ne Maar Li? Valuation Ka Kya Scene?

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AuthorVihaan Mehta|Published at:
Anand Rathi Wealth Share: Revenue **30%** Bhaga Par Costs Ne Maar Li? Valuation Ka Kya Scene?
Overview

Anand Rathi Wealth ka Q4 FY26 ka result aaya hai. Revenue toh **30%** zordaar bhaga hai, yeh toh achha hai. Lekin, operating expenses, especially employee costs, bohot badh gaye, jiske karan EBITDA mein thoda dip aaya aur margins compress ho gaye. PAT phir bhi **40%** badha hai, toh scene thoda mixed hai.

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Anand Rathi Wealth Ka Mixed Picture

Dekho, Anand Rathi Wealth (ARWM) ka FY26 ka Q4 ka result kaafi mixed raha hai, bhai. Ek taraf toh revenue bohot mast bhaga hai, 30% up YoY. Financial product aur mutual fund distribution se yeh growth aayi hai. Full FY26 ke liye revenue 22% badha hai. Sab badhiya lag raha hai yahaan tak.

Lekin Ruka, Pehle Ye Suno! Costs Ne Kaise Maar Dali?

Asal drama toh expenses mein hua. Operating expenses mein 55% ka zordaar jump dekhne ko mila YoY. Employee costs toh 67% badh gaye! Aur yeh sab mein ek one-time ESOP charge bhi tha. Is wajah se EBITDA 7% gir gaya YoY, aur margins ghat kar 29.5% ho gaye, jo pehle 40.9% the. Agar ESOP impact na hota, toh EBITDA lagbhag ₹1.2 billion aur margins 43.1% hote.

Profit Toh Badha, Par Valuation Ka Kya?

Achhi baat yeh hai ki consolidated Profit After Tax (PAT) 40% badhkar ₹1 billion ho gaya. Full FY26 mein PAT 28% badhkar ₹3.9 billion raha. Ab valuation ki baat karein toh Anand Rathi Wealth abhi 74x ke P/E ratio par trade kar raha hai. Yeh apne competitors jaise ICICI Securities (13-14x P/E) aur HDFC Securities (14.2x P/E) se kaafi zyada hai. Company ka ROE 45% hai, jo mast hai, lekin itna high P/E future growth ki expectations dikhata hai, jo current cost pressures se thoda challenging ho sakta hai.

Brokerage Kya Keh Rahe Hain?

Motilal Oswal ne abhi bhi 'Neutral' rating di hai aur target price ₹3,100 rakha hai. Current market price around ₹3,584 hai, toh matlab zyada upside dikh nahi raha. Baaki analysts ke bhi targets ₹3,040 se ₹3,253 ke beech hain. Toh lag raha hai ki stock abhi fully valued hai.

Wealth Management Sector Ka Future?

Indian wealth management sector mein next 10 saal mein high-teen rates se growth expect hai. Savings ka financialization, HNIs ka badhna, yeh sab factors hain. India mein AUM FY24 mein US$1.1 trillion se FY29 tak US$2.3 trillion ho sakta hai. Toh opportunities toh bohot hain.

Toh Kya Hai Risk?

Sabse bada risk toh company ka 74x wala P/E multiple hai. Itna high multiple matlab market ko future se bohot badi umeed hai, aur thodi bhi gadbad hui toh stock gir sakta hai. Employee costs ka badhna aur margins ka kam hona bhi ek concern hai. Sector market performance par bhi depend karta hai. Management confidence dikha raha hai bonus shares aur dividend se, par valuation itna high hai ki koi bhi choti galti stock ko neeche la sakti hai.

Management khud expect kar raha hai ki FY26–28 tak AUM, revenue aur PAT mein 20-22% ka CAGR rahega. AUM toh ₹1 Lakh Crore cross kar chuka hai. Lekin itne high growth expectations ko sustain karna, jab costs bhi badh rahe hain aur valuation bhi high hai, yeh dekhna hoga.

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