Budget mein government ne ek bada change kiya hai. STT ko derivatives par badha diya gaya hai. Pehle futures par jo STT 0.02% tha, woh ab badha kar 0.05% kar diya gaya hai. Options premium par bhi 0.10% se badha kar 0.15% kar diya gaya hai. Ye sab April 1, 2026 se लागू ho jayega.
Iska asar seedha Sunday ko dikha. Nifty 50 toh 1.96% gir gaya aur BSE Sensex bhi 1.27% neeche aaya. Government ka kehna hai ki ye speculation kam karne aur retail investors ko bachane ke liye hai, kyunki F&O mein kaafi loss ho raha tha.
Ab aate hain Monday ki baat par. Kuch capital market companies ne achha bounce back dikhaya. Jaise, BSE ka share 4.8% badh kar ₹2,701.60 pe pahunch gaya, company ka market cap ₹1.10 trillion ho gaya hai. MCX bhi 4% upar ₹2,322.40 pe band hua, market cap lagbhag ₹59,235 crore hai.
Retail brokerage firm Angel One ne bhi 4% ki tezi dikhayi, share ₹2,401 pe pahunch gaya, market cap roughly ₹21,828 crore. Nuvama Wealth Management 3% aur 360 One WAM 0.8% ke aas paas badhe. Lekin Groww ke liye khabar acchi nahi hai. Groww ka stock 2.29% aur gir gaya, pichhle din toh 5% gira tha. Groww ka P/E ratio bhi kaafi high chal raha hai, lagbhag 60-64 ke aas paas.
Analysts abhi bhi is STT hike ko dekh rahe hain. Jefferies keh raha hai ki overall volumes par 5% tak ka impact aa sakta hai, par options trading pe zyada fark nahi padega. Lekin JM Financial ka andaaza hai ki trading volumes 5% se 20% tak kam ho sakte hain.
Isse Angel One ke FY27 earnings par 6% se 22% tak ka impact padh sakta hai, Groww ke liye 4% se 14% aur Nuvama ke liye 2% se 5% tak ka nuksaan ho sakta hai. BSE ke MD & CEO Sundararaman Ramamurthy ka kehna hai ki ye change long-term investment ko badhawa dene ke liye hai, aur speculation kam hoga.
Brokerage aur exchange space mein competition kaafi hai. Groww, jo naya player hai, uska P/E ratio 60s mein hai, jo Angel One (P/E ~28-30) se kaafi zyada hai. Groww se market high growth expect kar raha hai.
Overall, government ka maksad derivatives market mein risky speculation ko control karna hai. Dekhna hoga ki ye STT hike trading volumes ko kaise affect karta hai aur market mein kitna stable change aata hai.