Numbers toh theek hain, par margin ka kya?
Company ne revenue growth toh achhi dikhai hai, 9% ka YoY jump aur 8% volume growth se. Rural aur premium segments se achha support mila hai. EBITDA bhi 7% badh kar ₹330 Crore ho gaya hai.
Lekin, bhaiyo, EBITDA margin thoda sa narrow hua hai, 30 BPS se 21.3% par aa gaya. Iska reason hai employee costs mein ek baar ka increase, overheads badhna, aur forex mein loss. Management ne ye bhi bola hai ki crude oil prices, jo abhi $100+ par chal rahi hai, aur currency ka fluctuation bhi aage chal kar margin par pressure bana sakta hai.
Brokerage report kya kehti hai?
IDBI Capital ne Castrol India par apni 'Hold' rating barkarar rakhi hai. Unke hisaab se company ka free cash flow mazboot hai, return ratios acche hain aur dividends bhi consistently mil rahe hain. Lekin sabse badi baat ye hai ki stock ka current valuation kaafi 'rich' lag raha hai, jiske wajah se short term mein bade gains ki ummeed kam hai. Isiliye, target price ₹204 par hi rakha gaya hai. Ye valuation, CY27 ke earnings estimate ka 17 guna hai, matlab current market price se sirf 10% ka upside dikh raha hai.
