Whalesbook
Dekho, asal situation yeh hai ki aajkal mandi mein jo important Rabi crops hain na, woh sarkar ne jo Minimum Support Price (MSP) set kiya hai, usse kaafi neeche bik rahe hain. Isse kisan bhaiyon ko apna production cost nikalna bhi mushkil ho raha hai.
For example, gehu (wheat) abhi ₹2,000 se lekar ₹2,100 per quintal mein bik raha hai. Lekin sarkar ka MSP hai ₹2,585 for the 2026-27 season. Matlab seedha gap hai! Maize bhi ₹1,689 per quintal mein mil raha hai, jabki MSP ₹2,400 hai.
Aur jo mota anaj (coarse cereals) hain, unka toh aur bura haal hai. Ragi, jisko sarkar promote kar rahi hai, woh ₹3,092 per quintal mein bik raha hai, jo uske MSP ₹4,886 se 36.72% kam hai! Bajra bhi ₹2,161 per quintal mil raha hai, MSP ₹2,775 ke muqable, yeh bhi 22.13% neeche hai. Chana (Gram) bhi ₹5,000 per quintal mein mil raha hai, MSP ₹5,875 se kam. Sirf sarson (Mustard) thoda MSP ke aas paas hai, ₹6,200 se ₹6,600.
Duniya bhar mein toh khane peene ka production record tod raha hai aur prices stable ya girne ka chance hai. World Bank bhi bol raha hai ki 2026 mein agri prices 2% tak gir sakte hain. Lekin India mein scene ulta hai. Hamare yahan bhi total foodgrain production record 357.73 million tonnes pahunch gaya hai 2024-25 mein. Per woh crop sector ka growth rate toh livestock aur fisheries se kam hai, sirf 3.5% growth Q2 FY25-26 mein. Iska matlab, zyada ugayenge toh zyada kamayenge, yeh hope abhi poori nahi ho rahi.
Sarkar MSP badha rahi hai, jaise wheat ka MSP ₹2,585, gram ka ₹5,875, lentil ka ₹7,000, sarson ka ₹6,200 kar diya hai 2026-27 season ke liye. Plan toh yeh hai ki kam se kam production cost ka 1.5 times mile aur 50% profit ho. Lekin market price agar MSP tak pahunche hi na, toh kya fayda?
Asal mein problem yeh hai ki mandi mein ek saath itna sara maal aa jata hai na, ki private buyer itna uthate nahi hain. Aur kabhi kabhi gehu mein pani (moisture) zyada hone ki wajah se sarkari procurement mein bhi problem aati hai, toh farmers ko local traders ko kam rate pe bechna padta hai. Sab farmers tak sarkari buying centers pahunch nahi paate, aur transport ka kharcha alag. Agar sarkar rice aur wheat ke alawa baaki cheezon (like pulses, oilseeds) ka procurement properly nahi karegi aur market prices MSP se niche rahengi, toh kisan woh ugaana band kar denge aur humko import pe depend hona padega. Sarkar ka 30.3 million tonne wheat procurement target bhi miss ho sakta hai.
So, abhi sirf MSP badhane se kaam nahi chalega. Market access improve karna padega, procurement ko better karna padega, aur prices ko stabilize karna padega taaki MSP ka fayda sach mein kisan tak pahunche.