Whalesbook
'Dr Doom' Peter Schiff Gold ki vakat kar rahe hain, Silver par warning de rahe hain
Arthashastri Peter Schiff, jo 2008 ke vittiya sankat ki sahi bhavishyavani ke liye vyapak roop se pehchane jaate hain, ne haal hi mein investors ko precious metals par apna outlook diya hai. Schiff gold ki kharid ki purjor sifarish kar rahe hain, uski vartman keemat ko "Steal" bata rahe hain. Iske vipreet, ve is saal iske prabhavshali pradarshan ke bavajood, sambhavit alpkalik jokhimon (short-term risks) ko ujagar karte hue, silver ke prati adhik savdhan ravaiya rakhne ki salah de rahe hain.
Schiff ka manna hai ki gold lagbhag $4,534 prati ounce par kharidne ka ek asadharan avsar prastut karta hai. Ve kahte hain ki gold mein giravat ka jokhim (downside risk) bahut kam hai, jisse yah bazaar ki anishchitataon se jujh rahe investors ke liye ek akarshak surakshit aashray (safe-haven) sampatti ban jati hai. Unki sifarish gold ke mulya aur sthirta par unke vishwas ko rekhanakit karti hai.
Gold par apni salah ke bilkul vipreet, Schiff ne silver ki tatkal sambhavnaon ke bare mein aarakshan vyakt kiya hai. Unhone dhatu ki mahatvapurn kimat mein utaar-chadhav (price swings) ka ullekh kiya, jismein $84 prati ounce ke apne haaliya record uchhatam star tak pahunchna aur phir $75 tak tezi se girna, uske baad $80 se upar wapas aana shamil hai. Unki rai mein, yah badhi hui asthirta, tatkal bhautik silver ki kharid ko ek adhik jokhim bhara prastav banati hai.
Schiff ne investors ko salah di hai ki ve silver ki kimaton ke ekikaran (consolidation) ke daur se guzarne tak pratiksha karen. Unhonne sanket diya ki $70 aur $75 ke beech ek samarthan star (support level) bazaar ke sthir hone par sambhavit pravesh bindu (entry point) ke roop mein kaam kar sakta hai.
Haliye bazaar gatividhi mein, bhugol-rajnitik tanav (geopolitical tensions) kam hone par investors ne munafe ki vasooli ki, jisase moolyavan dhatuon mein thodi giravat aayi. Gold ki kimaten 0.4% gir kar $4,512.74 prati ounce ho gayi, $4,549.71 ke record uchhatam star ko chhu ne ke baad. Silver 1.3% gir kar $78.12 prati ounce ho gayi, apne sarvakalik shikhar $83.62 ke baad.
Is haaliye sudhar ke bavajood, silver is saal ka star performer rahi hai. Ismein varsh-dar-tithi (year-to-date) 181% ki adbhut vriddhi dekhi gayi hai, jo gold ke 72% labh se kafi aage hai. Gold ki is uchhal ke pichhe US Federal Reserve dwara byaj daron mein kami ki ummidein, jaari bhugol-rajnitik halchal, kendriya sansthaon (central entities) se majboot maang, aur Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) ke madhyam se badhi hui investment ko shrey diya jata hai.
Silver ki upar ki taraf gatishilta audyogik anupryogon, vishesh roop se US arthvyavastha mein, iske mahatvapurn sthan se prerit hai. Simit aapurti aur audyogik va niveshak kshetro dono se badhti hui maang jaise karak bhi sakaratmak yogdan de rahe hain.
Peter Schiff ke 2008 ke sankat ke bhavishyavakta ke roop mein unki pratishtha ko dekhte hue, unke ghoshnaen investor ki bhavna ko mahatvapurn roop se prabhavit kar sakti hain. Gold ke liye unka mazboot samarthan kharid ko protsahit kar sakta hai, sambhavit roop se uski kimat ko sahara de sakta hai, jabki silver par unki savdhani us dhatu ke liye speculative utsah ko kam kar sakti hai. Investors unke vishleshan ke aadhar par apne portfolios ko niyojit kar sakte hain, gold ki pratiphalit suraksha ko prathmikta de sakte hain ya silver mein adhik upayukt pravesh bindu ki pratiksha kar sakte hain. Isse moolyavan dhatuon ke bazaar mein nivesh pravahon mein parivartan aa sakta hai.