Temporary Relief as RoDTEP Rates Restored
The full Remission of Duties and Taxes on Exported Products (RoDTEP) rates have been restored, effective from February 23, 2026, and valid until March 31, 2026. This policy reverses earlier reductions, responding to pressure from rising freight costs and trade risks linked to the West Asia conflict. The Ministry of Commerce and Industry stated the move aims to provide timely support, recognizing that disruptions in shipping routes have greatly increased logistics costs. For sectors like textiles, which typically operate on thin margins, this restoration is seen as a necessary step to prevent immediate losses. However, the extension is temporary, and ongoing fiscal pressures leave the sector exposed.
Global Conflict Drives Up Shipping Costs, Squeezes Exports
Geopolitical turmoil, particularly escalating tensions in West Asia, directly impacts India's export competitiveness. Container freight rates on Asia-West Asia routes have surged, with some routes seeing a two-to-threefold increase. War-risk premiums have quadrupled, and bunker fuel prices have climbed, collectively driving up operational costs for exporters. This surge in logistics expenses worsens existing challenges, alongside LPG price increases linked to the conflict. The impact is visible in trade data, with merchandise exports to key markets like the US, UK, UAE, and Saudi Arabia showing contraction in February. The trade deficit has widened, signaling economic pressures worsened by global instability. The Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO) has stressed the need to monitor geopolitical events and get timely policy support to keep exports moving.
India Lags Competitors on Export Incentives
Despite policy interventions like RoDTEP, a persistent concern for Indian exporters is their competitive standing against global peers. Nations such as Vietnam, Bangladesh, Turkey, and China benefit from established and robust remission mechanisms that provide a cost advantage. Industry bodies have repeatedly warned that even a small cost disadvantage can lead to significant order diversion, especially impacting labor-intensive sectors like textiles and garments, which operate on tight margins. The RoDTEP scheme aims to refund embedded taxes, but its temporary nature and past adjustments create uncertainty, unlike the stable incentive systems of competitors. This policy uncertainty makes it harder for India to fully use new Free Trade Agreements with countries like the UK, EU, and US, which offer more market access and lower tariffs. Stable policy is key to benefiting from these deals and keeping Indian goods competitive in key markets.
Exporters Depend on Stable Support, Not Ad-Hoc Measures
The ongoing reliance on schemes like RoDTEP reveals a key weakness: Indian exporters, especially MSMEs, rely heavily on government aid to stay competitive globally. MSMEs, which contribute significantly to India's total exports, have little financial cushion, making them very vulnerable to rising costs and changing policies. The current restoration of RoDTEP is a short-term measure valid only until March 2026. Its future after this date is uncertain, especially after past talks of budget cuts and integration into wider export programs. This reliance puts Indian firms at a disadvantage against competitors with steady, long-term export incentives. Furthermore, while the textile sector is a significant contributor, investors are factoring in sector risks and the effects of rising costs and uncertain global demand, suggesting a cautious view on its outlook.
Industry Calls for Predictable Export Policies
Industry stakeholders, including the Confederation of Indian Textile Industry (CITI) and the Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO), have urged the government to extend the RoDTEP scheme without a defined timeline. They argue that long lead times for export orders (usually six months) require predictable policy to boost global competitiveness. While the government has shown responsiveness to immediate crises, the key goal is to create a stable, long-term policy. Without this, India risks losing market share to more reliable competitors, despite pursuing ambitious trade deals. The focus needs to shift from reacting to crises to providing steady support, ensuring India's export sector can grow amid global volatility.