Turnaround Trajectory
Tech Mahindra is showing signs of a robust turnaround, marked by an all-round strong performance in the December quarter of FY26. This positive momentum follows the appointment of Mohit Joshi as the new CEO in December 2023. The company's management is aiming to outperform its large-cap peers in the fiscal year 2027, signaling renewed ambition.
Growth Catalysts
This optimistic outlook is underpinned by several strategic initiatives. Management highlighted an improving deal-win momentum, suggesting an enhanced pipeline of future business. Furthermore, gains in market share within the communication vertical are expected to drive revenue acceleration compared to FY26. The company is also seeing faster growth in accounts generating USD 20 million revenue run-rate, driven by improved cross-sell and up-sell opportunities.
Margin and Earnings Outlook
Tech Mahindra has reiterated its target of achieving a 15% EBIT margin by the end of FY27. This ambitious goal is primarily expected to be driven by improvements in gross margins, indicating better cost management and operational efficiency. In response to the improving growth trajectory, ICICI Securities has raised its Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates by 4% for FY27 and 2% for FY28.
Valuation and Recommendation
ICICI Securities continues to value Tech Mahindra using a 19x Price-to-Earnings (P/E) multiple on its December 2027 estimated EPS of INR 84, arriving at a target price of ₹1,600. Despite the positive developments and revised estimates, the brokerage maintains a 'Hold' recommendation. This stance reflects the view that the stock has already undergone a significant re-rating, with the market likely pricing in the expected turnaround in earnings.