LTIMindtree Leads Indian IT Growth in Q4 Preview; Infosys, HCLTech Face Slower Pace

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AuthorAnanya Iyer|Published at:
LTIMindtree Leads Indian IT Growth in Q4 Preview; Infosys, HCLTech Face Slower Pace
Overview

Anand Rathi's Q4 FY26 preview forecasts a mixed performance for India's IT sector. LTIMindtree Ltd. is expected to lead with 1.4% growth in constant currency, bucking wider industry caution. In contrast, Infosys Ltd. and HCL Technologies Ltd. anticipate seasonally weaker quarters. Margins are under pressure from wage hikes and client issues, while AI poses both a risk of lower prices and a long-term market expansion opportunity. Sector valuations have adjusted, with the Nifty IT index down about 25% year-to-date.

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Sector Outlook and Analyst Views

Looking ahead, Infosys has projected FY27 revenue growth of 5-8% in constant currency. A key focus for the company is sustaining large deal Total Contract Value (TCV) above $2.5 billion. Infosys's strategy includes using its GenAI platform to generate revenue and implementing cost-saving projects like Project Maximus.

For the IT sector as a whole, the ability to transition effectively to AI-driven services before traditional revenue streams face accelerating price declines will be critical. Most analysts rate Infosys a 'Hold', with average 12-month price targets between ₹1,700–1,900, suggesting moderate upside potential. While specific analyst targets for LTIMindtree and HCLTech vary, the general sentiment leans towards caution as the market considers near-term difficulties alongside AI's transformative power and the sector's changing competitive landscape. Analysts expect the latter half of FY26 will provide clearer signals for overall sector recovery.

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