The Valuation Reckoning: AI Threat to Indian IT Giants
The market convulsed following Anthropic's introduction of new AI automation plugins for its Claude Cowork agent. These tools, designed to automate complex enterprise tasks from legal document review to sales and data analysis, have intensified concerns that artificial intelligence could displace, rather than augment, established software and IT outsourcing models. This sentiment shift, characterized by analysts as a 'SaaSpocalypse,' propelled a broad sell-off across global technology markets, with U.S. software stocks leading the decline. The ripple effect was immediately felt by Indian IT stalwarts, with American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) for Infosys and Wipro experiencing significant drops, shedding up to 7% overnight. Infosys ADRs closed 5.6% lower, while Wipro ADRs fell 4.8%.
This market upheaval places a spotlight on the valuations of leading Indian IT firms. As of early February 2026, Infosys holds a market capitalization of approximately ₹6.6-6.7 trillion with a trailing P/E ratio around 23.1-23.6. Wipro, trading at a comparatively lower P/E of 19.1-19.4 and a market cap near ₹2.5-2.57 trillion, presents a different valuation profile. Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), the largest of the three, commands a market cap exceeding ₹11.3-11.7 trillion and a P/E ratio in the 22.7-24.0 range. The recent market reaction suggests investors are re-evaluating whether these multiples adequately price in the potential for AI-driven disruption to core revenue streams.