Nifty Tumbles Below 25,113; Further Downside Expected

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AuthorAarav Shah|Published at:
Nifty Tumbles Below 25,113; Further Downside Expected
Overview

Nifty has decisively broken below the critical 25,473 support level, now hovering near its 200-day moving averages around 25,113. With bearish trends confirmed across timeframes, analysts warn of a potential slide to the 24,800-24,900 zone if these key technical supports fail. HDFC Securities highlighted a buy for SBI Gold ETF and a sell for FinNifty futures.

Nifty Faces Steep Sell-off Pressure

The Indian benchmark index has decisively broken a critical swing low at 25,473. This breach places the Nifty precariously close to its 200-day exponential and simple moving averages, situated around 25,160 and 25,113 respectively. These levels represent the final major technical supports before a potential move towards the 24,800-24,900 zone. Any attempts at a recovery will likely face resistance at the previously breached 25,470-25,500 area.

Analyst Recommendations Spark Action

Vinay Rajani, senior technical and derivative analyst at HDFC Securities, identified specific trading opportunities amidst the prevailing bearish sentiment. Rajani advised a buy on the SBI Gold Exchange Traded Scheme (SETFGOLD) with a target of ₹136 and a stop-loss at ₹125. The rationale cited includes the ETF's bullish momentum, rising volumes, and gold's consistent outperformance over the last 18 months.

FinNifty Futures Under Pressure

Simultaneously, a sell recommendation was issued for FinNifty January Futures, with a target of 27,000 and a stop-loss at 27,350. This call is based on the FinNifty index confirming a breakdown from a bearish head and shoulder pattern on daily charts. The index's breach of the 50-day exponential moving average with higher volumes further solidifies the bearish outlook, suggesting potential for accelerated declines.

Market Outlook

The current technical setup indicates significant downside risk for the Nifty if key support levels falter. Investors are watching closely as the market navigates these critical junctures, with analysts providing actionable insights on both defensive assets like gold and leveraged instruments such as index futures.

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